Generalized Linear Models of Malaria Incidence in Jubek State, South Sudan

Abstract

Malaria is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in South Sudan. This study is meant to focus on the trend of malaria incidence in Jubek state, South Sudan. Data on weekly malaria incidence for the period January 2011 to October 2015 were used in the study. Generalized linear models, Poisson and negative binomial regression models were employed to analyze the data. Results obtained suggest that malaria incidence has been still on increase by 0.0030 and 0.0032 per week respectively. Additionally, incidence rate ratio suggests an increase of 0.3% per week of malaria incidence in Jubek state. The study recommends malaria control programmes focused on reducing malaria incidence be introduced in South Sudan in general and in Jubek state in particular.