Adapting to the Little Ice Age in pastoral regions: An interdisciplinary approach to climate history in north-west Europe

Eugene Costello, Kevin Kearney, B. Gearey
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract This paper uses interdisciplinary methods to investigate responses to the Little Ice Age in regions where livestock farming was dominant, a neglected subject due to the scarcity of detailed written records regarding pastoral land use. It argues that landscape-level histories which include pollen evidence and archaeology can address this challenge and reveal local processes of climate adaptation. Here we focus on Ireland and Scotland and a fascinating rise in small-scale cereal cultivation on upland pastures during the Little Ice Age. Bayesian modeling is used to test the chronological resolution of field evidence and compare it with climate reconstructions. We can see that the cultivation emerged in late medieval times, when cattle were facing climate-related stresses, and increased in early modern times during the Little Ice Age’s main phase. We suggest that it started in an indirect adaptation to climate change, supplementing supplies of food and fodder for pastoralists, but increased as rural populations and external market demands grew. There is a need for finer temporal resolution in pollen records and archaeology, as well as greater integration with socio-economic history, if we are to be more certain about changes in the relative significance of climate in pastoral land use.
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适应牧区小冰期:欧洲西北部气候史的跨学科研究方法
摘要:本文采用跨学科的方法研究了畜牧业占主导地位地区对小冰期的反应,由于缺乏关于畜牧业土地利用的详细书面记录,这是一个被忽视的主题。研究认为,包括花粉证据和考古学在内的景观历史可以解决这一挑战,并揭示当地的气候适应过程。在这里,我们关注的是爱尔兰和苏格兰,以及小冰河期在高地牧场上小规模谷物种植的惊人增长。贝叶斯模型用于测试现场证据的时间分辨率,并将其与气候重建结果进行比较。我们可以看到,这种种植出现在中世纪晚期,当时牛面临着与气候有关的压力,并在近代早期的小冰期主要阶段有所增加。我们认为,它始于对气候变化的间接适应,为牧民补充食物和饲料供应,但随着农村人口和外部市场需求的增长而增加。如果我们想要更加确定气候在畜牧业土地利用中的相对重要性的变化,就需要对花粉记录和考古进行更精细的时间分辨率,并与社会经济历史进行更大程度的整合。
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