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Built-up areas of nineteenth-century Britain. An integrated methodology for extracting high-resolution urban footprints from historical maps 十九世纪英国的建成区。从历史地图中提取高分辨率城市足迹的综合方法
Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2024.2324163
A. Litvine, Arthur Starzec, Rehmana Younis, Yannick Faula, Mickael Coustaty, L. Shaw-Taylor, Véronique Églin
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引用次数: 0
“Born yesterday, baptized today, buried tomorrow” : Early baptism as an indicator of negative life outcomes in rural Spain, 1890-1939 “昨天出生,今天受洗,明天下葬”:1890-1939年西班牙农村早期受洗作为消极生活结果的指标
Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2277719
Francisco J. Marco-Gracia
AbstractFor centuries, the Catholic Church demanded that baptisms take place in the hours immediately after birth. This custom began to lose importance in the last decade of the nineteenth century, which increased the average time between birth and baptism. However, some children continued to be baptized shortly following their birth. Our objective is to analyze whether early baptism could serve as an indicator of the state of a child’s health in the short and long term. In our examination of the period 1890-1939, the results confirm that children with early baptisms were more likely to die (especially during the first month of life), married earlier and at a greater rate compared to the general population and, probably, experienced shorter lifespans.Keywords: Cumulative disadvantagehealth disparitieschild developmentSpain Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.Notes1 J. Arnal told us his story orally before passing away shortly thereafter.2 As we have verified in the various interviews conducted in the study area.3 Through a nominative linkage record, each individual has information on his or her birth, baptism, marriage and death (if these events were registered in the reference villages).4 In all these cases we used OLS models because we selected a continuous dependent variable.5 That is, we have grouped individuals by year of birth into 5-year groups.6 In some cases, the allegations were rejected by the authorities after several medical examinations.7 We consider in this category only those people who we know for sure were single at the age of 45 and we have evidence of their presence in the study area. With respect to out-migrants, as we cannot ascertain their presence in the locality as single people aged 45 or older, they have been omitted for the analysis.Additional informationFundingThis work was supported by Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, projects PID2022-138886NB-I00 and PGC2018-095529-B-I00, from the Government of Aragon, research group S55_23R.
【摘要】几个世纪以来,天主教会要求在出生后的几个小时内进行洗礼。这种习俗在19世纪的最后十年开始失去重要性,因为从出生到受洗的平均时间增加了。然而,有些孩子在出生后不久继续受洗。我们的目标是分析早期洗礼是否可以作为儿童短期和长期健康状况的指标。在我们对1890-1939年期间的研究中,结果证实,与一般人群相比,早期受洗的儿童更容易死亡(尤其是在出生后的第一个月),结婚更早,结婚率更高,而且寿命可能更短。关键词:累积劣势健康差异儿童发展西班牙披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突。J.阿纳尔以口述的方式给我们讲述了他的故事,不久之后他就去世了正如我们在研究区域进行的各种访谈中所证实的那样3 .通过指定联系记录,每个人都有关于他或她的出生、洗礼、结婚和死亡的信息(如果这些事件在参考村登记)在所有这些情况下,我们使用OLS模型,因为我们选择了一个连续的因变量也就是说,我们把每个人按出生年份分成5年一组在某些情况下,当局在进行了几次体检后拒绝了这些指控在这一类别中,我们只考虑那些我们确定在45岁时单身的人,我们有证据表明他们在研究区域中存在。至于外迁者,由于我们无法确定他们是45岁或以上的单身人士,因此在分析中省略了他们。本工作得到西班牙科学与创新部的支持,项目PID2022-138886NB-I00和PGC2018-095529-B-I00,阿拉贡政府,研究小组S55_23R。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling systems of sentencing in early inquisition trials: Crime, social connectivity, and punishment in the register of Peter Seila (1241–2) 早期调查审判中量刑的建模系统:Peter Seila(1241-2)记录中的犯罪、社会联系和惩罚
Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2270404
Robert L. J. Shaw, Tomáš Hampejs, David Zbíral
Despite significant research on the techniques of repression employed by medieval inquisitors against religious dissidents, the case-level influences on the penances they meted out are understood only vaguely: the extent to which sentencing “systems” existed is unknown. To overcome this, we apply formal methods – an exploratory analysis supported by crisp-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis, and statistical modeling founded on multiple linear regression – to the large and historically significant register of Peter Seila (1241–2), captured as structured data via a statement-based approach entitled “Computer-Assisted Semantic Text Modelling” (CASTEMO). The results show that Peter systematically weighted different types of crimes and dissident interactions when sentencing; they do not suggest, however, that he was influenced by accomplicity or kinship among the sentenced.
尽管对中世纪审判官对持不同政见者所使用的镇压手段进行了大量研究,但案件层面对他们实施的忏悔的影响只是模糊地理解:量刑“系统”存在的程度是未知的。为了克服这个问题,我们采用形式化的方法——一种由片状定性比较分析支持的探索性分析,以及建立在多元线性回归基础上的统计建模——对Peter Seila(1241-2)的大量历史上重要的寄存器进行分析,通过一种名为“计算机辅助语义文本建模”(CASTEMO)的基于语句的方法作为结构化数据捕获。结果表明,Peter在量刑时系统地权衡了不同类型的犯罪和持不同政见者之间的相互作用;然而,这些证据并不表明他受到了被判刑者之间的共犯或亲属关系的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking archival censuses for spatial analysis: An historical dataset of the administrative units of Galicia 1857–1910 解锁档案人口普查空间分析:加利西亚行政单位的历史数据集1857-1910
Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2252330
K. Ostafin, M. Troll, Krzysztof Ślusarek, A. Smaliychuk, Anna Miklar, Krzysztof Gwosdz, N. Kolecka, D. Kaim
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引用次数: 0
The creation of LIFE-M: The Longitudinal, Intergenerational Family Electronic Micro-Database project 创建LIFE-M:纵向、代际家庭电子微数据库项目
Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2239699
M. Bailey, Peter Zhixian Lin, A. Mohammed, Paul Mohnen, Jared S. Murray, Mengying Zhang, Alexa Prettyman
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引用次数: 2
Behind the numbers: Authorities’ approach to measuring disability in Swedish populations from 1860 to 1930 数字背后:官方测量1860年至1930年间瑞典人口残疾的方法
Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2186998
Maria J. Wisselgren, L. Vikström
Abstract This study investigates the main features of collected disability statistics for the censuses in Sweden, 1860–1930, when the disability prevalence rose from four to 21 individuals per thousand of the population. We use qualitative methods to analyze the means of collecting, categorizing, and defining disability, while quantitative methods help us calculate the prevalence by disability type and gender in urban and rural areas. Our long-term findings reveal that this increase reflects new approaches whereby authorities applied alternative methods to collect disability data, using additional sources, wider definitions, and introducing new disability categories. The temporal variations in disability prevalence were influenced by the social and political context and normative views on who was considered disabled or not.
摘要:本研究调查了瑞典1860-1930年人口普查中收集的残疾统计数据的主要特征,当时残疾患病率从每千人4人上升到21人。我们使用定性方法分析残疾的收集、分类和定义方法,而定量方法帮助我们计算城乡残疾类型和性别的患病率。我们的长期研究结果表明,这种增长反映了当局采用替代方法收集残疾数据的新方法,使用额外的来源,更广泛的定义,并引入新的残疾类别。残疾流行率的时间变化受到社会和政治背景以及关于谁被视为残疾或不被视为残疾的规范性观点的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Adapting to the Little Ice Age in pastoral regions: An interdisciplinary approach to climate history in north-west Europe 适应牧区小冰期:欧洲西北部气候史的跨学科研究方法
Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2022.2156958
Eugene Costello, Kevin Kearney, B. Gearey
Abstract This paper uses interdisciplinary methods to investigate responses to the Little Ice Age in regions where livestock farming was dominant, a neglected subject due to the scarcity of detailed written records regarding pastoral land use. It argues that landscape-level histories which include pollen evidence and archaeology can address this challenge and reveal local processes of climate adaptation. Here we focus on Ireland and Scotland and a fascinating rise in small-scale cereal cultivation on upland pastures during the Little Ice Age. Bayesian modeling is used to test the chronological resolution of field evidence and compare it with climate reconstructions. We can see that the cultivation emerged in late medieval times, when cattle were facing climate-related stresses, and increased in early modern times during the Little Ice Age’s main phase. We suggest that it started in an indirect adaptation to climate change, supplementing supplies of food and fodder for pastoralists, but increased as rural populations and external market demands grew. There is a need for finer temporal resolution in pollen records and archaeology, as well as greater integration with socio-economic history, if we are to be more certain about changes in the relative significance of climate in pastoral land use.
摘要:本文采用跨学科的方法研究了畜牧业占主导地位地区对小冰期的反应,由于缺乏关于畜牧业土地利用的详细书面记录,这是一个被忽视的主题。研究认为,包括花粉证据和考古学在内的景观历史可以解决这一挑战,并揭示当地的气候适应过程。在这里,我们关注的是爱尔兰和苏格兰,以及小冰河期在高地牧场上小规模谷物种植的惊人增长。贝叶斯模型用于测试现场证据的时间分辨率,并将其与气候重建结果进行比较。我们可以看到,这种种植出现在中世纪晚期,当时牛面临着与气候有关的压力,并在近代早期的小冰期主要阶段有所增加。我们认为,它始于对气候变化的间接适应,为牧民补充食物和饲料供应,但随着农村人口和外部市场需求的增长而增加。如果我们想要更加确定气候在畜牧业土地利用中的相对重要性的变化,就需要对花粉记录和考古进行更精细的时间分辨率,并与社会经济历史进行更大程度的整合。
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引用次数: 2
Latin American exports during the first globalization: How statistical aggregation and standardization affect our understanding of trade 第一次全球化中的拉丁美洲出口:统计汇总和标准化如何影响我们对贸易的理解
Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2022.2160399
Marc Badia-Miró, Anna Carreras-Marín, Agustina Rayes
Abstract Data constraints determine the scope of historical research. The gradual digitalization of large sources has increased the number of approaches that can be applied to comprehend the past. Here, we show an example of how trade data can shed new light to better understand growth patterns of Latin America at the end of nineteenth century. Latin American exports during the First Globalization has mainly focused on the high concentration of few products to few markets. In this article, we propose a complementary way to measure diversification by considering the relative number of goods and the number of trade partners. To do so, we had to deal with historical official trade data hardly comparable, which has been homogenized for some countries in a 1910 benchmark (SITC-rev2). From that, we can offer a new measure of trade diversification, internationally comparable over time and across countries. Standardizing trade data also implies some consequences in the sense that the number of items for industrial goods is always greater than those for primary goods, arising the question if lower diversification is an inevitable result of specialization on commodities, or instead, it is a statistical artifact driven by the standard criterium we impose on data.
数据约束决定了历史研究的范围。大型资源的逐渐数字化增加了可用于理解过去的方法的数量。在这里,我们展示了一个例子,说明贸易数据如何为更好地理解19世纪末拉丁美洲的增长模式提供了新的视角。在第一次全球化期间,拉丁美洲的出口主要集中在少数产品对少数市场的高度集中。在本文中,我们提出了一种互补的方法,通过考虑商品的相对数量和贸易伙伴的数量来衡量多样化。为此,我们必须处理难以比较的历史官方贸易数据,这些数据在1910年的基准(SITC-rev2)中对一些国家进行了同质化处理。由此,我们可以提供一种新的衡量贸易多样化的方法,可以在不同的时间和国家之间进行国际比较。标准化贸易数据也意味着一些后果,即工业品的项目数量总是大于初级产品的项目数量,这就产生了一个问题,即低多样化是商品专业化的必然结果,还是相反,它是由我们强加给数据的标准标准驱动的统计人工制品。
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引用次数: 0
Applications of machine learning in tabular document digitisation 机器学习在表格文档数字化中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2164879
C. M. Dahl, Torben S. D. Johansen, Emil N. Sørensen, Christian Westermann, Simon F. Wittrock
Abstract Data acquisition forms the primary step in all empirical research. The availability of data directly impacts the quality and extent of conclusions and insights. In particular, larger and more detailed datasets provide convincing answers even to complex research questions. The main problem is that large and detailed usually imply costly and difficult, especially when the data medium is paper and books. Human operators and manual transcription has been the traditional approach for collecting historical data. We instead advocate the use of modern machine learning techniques to automate the digitization and transcription process. We propose a customizable end-to-end transcription pipeline to perform layout classification, table segmentation, and transcribe handwritten text that is suitable for tabular data, as is common in, e.g., census lists and birth and death records. We showcase our pipeline through two applications: The first demonstrates that unsupervised layout classification applied to raw scans of nurse journals can be used to obtain valuable insights into an extended nurse home visiting program. The second application uses attention-based neural networks for handwritten text recognition to transcribe age and birth and death dates and includes a comparison to automated transcription using Transkribus in the regime of tabular data. We describe each step in our pipeline and provide implementation insights.
数据采集是所有实证研究的首要步骤。数据的可用性直接影响结论和见解的质量和程度。特别是,更大和更详细的数据集甚至为复杂的研究问题提供了令人信服的答案。主要的问题是庞大和详细通常意味着昂贵和困难,特别是当数据介质是纸张和书籍时。人工操作和人工转录一直是收集历史数据的传统方法。相反,我们提倡使用现代机器学习技术来自动化数字化和转录过程。我们提出了一个可定制的端到端转录管道来执行布局分类、表格分割和转录适合表格数据的手写文本,例如,人口普查名单和出生和死亡记录。我们通过两个应用程序展示了我们的管道:第一个演示了应用于护士日志原始扫描的无监督布局分类可以用于获得扩展的护士家访计划的有价值的见解。第二个应用程序使用基于注意力的神经网络进行手写文本识别,以转录年龄、出生和死亡日期,并在表格数据中使用Transkribus与自动转录进行比较。我们将描述管道中的每一步,并提供实现见解。
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引用次数: 2
A reassessment of industrial growth in interwar Turkey through first-generation sectoral estimates 通过第一代部门估计,重新评估两次世界大战之间土耳其的工业增长
Pub Date : 2022-12-28 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2022.2156957
Ulaş Karakoç
Abstract This study presents the first sectorally disaggregated estimates of the industrial output growth for Turkey between World War I and II. These estimates indicate that at the aggregate level the existing official index overestimates the output growth. Secondly, the sectoral disaggregation shows that the industrial growth was balanced, as both textiles and food-processing branches, which comprised most of the value-added, grew significantly. Local industries expanded against the only modest gains in per capita consumption of manufactured goods and incomes. Output growth was positively correlated with higher initial import penetration and nominal protection rates, which implies that trade protectionism helped favorable relative prices induce domestic expansion. On the other hand, both import-competing and domestic-market-oriented sectors significantly expanded, which suggests that import repression and increasing domestic demand drove industrial growth.
摘要:本研究首次对土耳其在第一次世界大战和第二次世界大战之间的工业产出增长进行了部门分类估计。这些估计表明,在总体水平上,现有的官方指数高估了产出增长。其次,行业分类表明,工业增长是平衡的,因为纺织和食品加工部门,构成了大部分的增值,增长显著。当地工业在人均制成品消费和收入仅略有增长的情况下扩张。产出增长与较高的初始进口渗透率和名义保护率呈正相关,这意味着贸易保护主义有助于有利的相对价格诱导国内扩张。另一方面,进口竞争部门和国内市场导向部门都显著扩大,这表明进口抑制和国内需求增加推动了工业增长。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History
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