The Effect of the Balance Sheet Approach on the Usefulness of Accounting Information in Assessing Bank Default Risk

Peter R. Demerjian, Kodai Ito, Akinobu Shuto
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Abstract

This study investigates the effect of the balance sheet approach, where financial reporting focuses on asset and liability valuation, on the usefulness of the capital adequacy ratio in the evaluation of bank default risk by credit rating agencies. We examine Japanese banks, which play the central role in the Japanese economy, and whose capital adequacy ratios are affected by the fair value measurement under the balance sheet approach. We adopt Demerjian’s (2011) approach to develop a bank-level measure of balance sheet focus. Although we find a significant positive correlation between the slack of the regulatory capital adequacy ratio and issuer rating, we find that this positive correlation is significantly weakened as a bank’s dependence on the balance sheet approach increases. The results suggest that the regulatory capital adequacy ratio based on a bank’s accounting information provides useful information for the evaluation of default risk but that rating agencies discount capital information that relies heavily on the balance sheet approach when estimating a bank’s default risk.
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资产负债表法对银行违约风险评估中会计信息有用性的影响
本研究调查了资产负债表方法的影响,其中财务报告侧重于资产和负债估值,对信用评级机构在评估银行违约风险时资本充足率的有用性。我们研究了在日本经济中发挥核心作用的日本银行,其资本充足率受到资产负债表方法下公允价值计量的影响。我们采用Demerjian(2011)的方法来开发银行层面的资产负债表焦点度量。虽然我们发现监管资本充足率的松弛度与发行人评级之间存在显著的正相关关系,但我们发现,随着银行对资产负债表方法的依赖程度增加,这种正相关关系显著减弱。结果表明,基于银行会计信息的监管资本充足率为评估违约风险提供了有用的信息,但评级机构在估计银行违约风险时低估了严重依赖资产负债表方法的资本信息。
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