THE IMPACT OF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR ON THE TRADE BALANCE OF THE WORLD AND GEORGIA

Lasha Beridze
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Abstract

Just when the whole world, which was already almost stopped and reduced as a result of the pandemic, was starting the process of restoring the global economy, the Russian Federation invaded Ukraine, which further stopped the process of economic recovery and deepened the world economic crisis, which was previously dictated by the breakdown of the supply chains. Russia and Ukraine, with their economic scale, are important players in ensuring the world trade balance, both jointly and separately, so the start of the war led to an increase in the prices of a number of goods and services, which particularly affected strategic goods such as oil products, gas, wheat, corn, oil and others. The increase in the prices of strategic goods was quite large-scale at the world level, so in the most countries of the world the rate of inflation increased, which led to the correction of various macroeconomic indicators, while such corrections turned out to be more sensitive for the countries of the European continent, which depended on Russian energy resources. Although the economic and financial sanctions were quite immediate, some countries still failed to join the sanctions and plans were developed to reduce their dependence on Russian energy resources and goods, because joining the sanctions completely would cause the collapse of the economy of such countries, since some countries are completely dependent on Russian resources. Russia and Ukraine are one of the most important trade and partner countries for Georgia, that's why the war had a significant impact on the economy of Georgia. Despite the fact that Georgia largely joined the sanctions imposed by the European Union, it still maintained its openness to the Russian economy and trade, which was reflected in the Georgian economy by the inflow of remittances from Russia and the increase by the flow of travelers.
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俄乌战争对世界与格鲁吉亚贸易平衡的影响
就在由于大流行病而几乎停止和减少的整个世界开始恢复全球经济的进程时,俄罗斯联邦入侵乌克兰,这进一步停止了经济复苏进程,加深了世界经济危机,而世界经济危机以前是由供应链崩溃引起的。俄罗斯和乌克兰的经济规模是确保世界贸易平衡的重要参与者,无论是联合还是单独,因此战争的开始导致许多商品和服务的价格上涨,这特别影响了石油产品、天然气、小麦、玉米、石油等战略商品。战略物品价格的上涨在世界范围内是相当大的,因此在世界上大多数国家,通货膨胀率上升,导致各种宏观经济指标的修正,而这种修正对依赖俄罗斯能源的欧洲大陆国家来说更为敏感。虽然经济和金融制裁是相当直接的,但一些国家仍然没有加入制裁,并制定了减少对俄罗斯能源资源和商品依赖的计划,因为完全加入制裁会导致这些国家的经济崩溃,因为有些国家完全依赖俄罗斯的资源。俄罗斯和乌克兰是格鲁吉亚最重要的贸易伙伴之一,这就是为什么这场战争对格鲁吉亚的经济产生了重大影响。尽管格鲁吉亚在很大程度上加入了欧洲联盟实施的制裁,但它仍然保持对俄罗斯经济和贸易的开放,这反映在格鲁吉亚经济中,来自俄罗斯的汇款流入和游客流量的增加。
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