A Global Warming Differential Game

G. Erickson
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Abstract

A differential game of global warming is offered. The game involves individual country social utility functions that balance gains from GHG emissions with damages due to global warming. Two state variables are involved, the concentration of anthropogenic GHG in the atmosphere, and the increase in global temperature, compared to preindustrial times, due to the anthropogenic GHG. Temperature increase adjusts gradually to the effect of increased GHG concentration, while the GHG concentration increases with GHG emissions from countries around the globe, and declines due to the absorptive capacity of the environment, a capacity that is negatively affected by the increased global temperature. A cooperative solution is defined, as is an open-loop equilibrium, and a tax policy is offered that induces an open-loop equilibrium which coincides with the cooperative solution. The tax policy offered serves to bring damages from global warming to all countries into the utility function of each individual country.
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全球变暖的微分博弈
一个关于全球变暖的微分博弈被提出。该游戏涉及单个国家的社会效用函数,该函数平衡温室气体排放的收益与全球变暖造成的损害。这涉及到两个状态变量,即大气中人为温室气体的浓度,以及由于人为温室气体导致的与工业化前时代相比的全球温度升高。温度升高逐渐适应温室气体浓度增加的影响,而温室气体浓度随着全球各国温室气体排放的增加而增加,并由于环境的吸收能力而下降,而环境的吸收能力受到全球温度升高的负面影响。定义了一个合作解,即一个开环均衡,并给出了一种税收政策,以诱导一个与合作解一致的开环均衡。所提出的税收政策是将全球变暖对所有国家造成的损害转化为每个国家的效用函数。
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