The Effect of Interest Rate Spread on Economic Growth: Ghana’s Perspective

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Abstract

The purpose of the study was to investigate the effect of interest rate spread on economic growth using annual time series data from 1975 to 2018. The study used the Engel-granger two-step procedure which uses the OLS technique to establish both the long-run and short-run relationships between interest rate spread and economic growth. The study established that interest rate spread is a statistically important determinant of economic growth but it has a negative impact in the long-run. Also, the result shows that labour force, capital stock, and exports affect economic growth in Ghana positively both in the long-run and short-run. However, government expenditure appeared not to be a statistically significant factor in determining economic growth in Ghana. Policy actions that ensure macroeconomic stability should be embarked upon to achieve stability and sustainable growth of the economy. Export promotion, investment opportunities as well as producing active labour force should be given a priority.
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利率差对经济增长的影响:加纳的视角
本研究的目的是利用1975年至2018年的年度时间序列数据,研究利率差对经济增长的影响。本研究采用恩格尔-格兰杰两步法,利用OLS技术建立利率息差与经济增长之间的长期和短期关系。研究表明,从统计学上看,利差是经济增长的重要决定因素,但从长期来看,它具有负面影响。此外,研究结果表明,劳动力、资本存量和出口对加纳经济增长的长期和短期影响都是积极的。但是,政府支出似乎不是决定加纳经济增长的统计上的重要因素。应采取确保宏观经济稳定的政策行动,以实现经济的稳定和可持续增长。应优先考虑促进出口、投资机会以及产生积极的劳动力。
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