Longterm analysis of wind speed and wind power resource assessment for the site Vijayawada, Andhra Pradesh, India

K. Murthy, O. P. Rahi, Preeti Sonkar, S. Ram
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This paper aims to investigates longterm variability of wind speed and wind power resource assessment using statistical based Weibull probability distribution approach. This research work has been carried out for the selected site Vijayawada located in the central region of Andhra Pradesh, India for the first time. In this context, the global Modern Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) daily wind datasets has been considered for the long term analysis spanning over 36 years (1981–2016) at 10 m height a.g.l. Two-parameter Weibull probability and cumulative distribution models have been used to tap the wind power potential. Thereafter, an empirical method proposed by Lysen has been used to calculate the Weibull distribution parameters such as shape (k, dimensionless) and scale (c, m/s) factors. In addition, variations in wind speed characteristics namely mean wind speed (vm, m/s), maximum wind speed (vmax, m/s), most probable wind speed (vmp, m/s), maximum energy carrying wind speeds (vme, m/s) have been determined on the monthly, annual, seasonal basis. Finally, this work will help as guiding document for power and energy engineers, policy makers, as well as for researchers working in this area for providing solution to the problem of burgeoning gap between demand and supply of energy.
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印度安得拉邦维杰亚瓦达站点的长期风速分析和风力资源评价
本文旨在利用基于统计的威布尔概率分布方法研究风速的长期变异性和风电资源评价。这项研究工作首次在位于印度安得拉邦中部地区的选定地点Vijayawada进行。在此背景下,考虑了全球现代研究与应用回顾性分析(MERRA)每日风数据集,以10米高度进行了36年(1981-2016)的长期分析。双参数威布尔概率和累积分布模型已被用于挖掘风力发电潜力。随后,采用Lysen提出的经验方法计算形状(k,无因次)和尺度(c, m/s)因子等威布尔分布参数。此外,风速特征的变化,即平均风速(vm, m/s)、最大风速(vmax, m/s)、最可能风速(vmp, m/s)、最大携能风速(vme, m/s)已按月、年、季计算。最后,本文将为电力和能源工程师、政策制定者以及在该领域工作的研究人员提供指导性文件,以解决日益扩大的能源供需差距问题。
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