Effect of traffic reports on commuters' route and departure time changes

Asad J. Khattak, J. Schofer, F. Koppelman
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引用次数: 32

Abstract

Considerable public and private resources are devoted to the collection and dissemination of real-time traffic information in the Chicago area. Such information is intended to help drivers make more informed trip decisions, yet its effect on driver behavior remains largely unexplored. This study was conducted to evaluate the effect of traffic reports on route and departure time changes. Downtown Chicago automobile commuters were surveyed during the AM peak period by giving them mail-back questionnaires. Drivers indicated whether or not they had changed their route and departure time decisions based on traffic reports. Further, drivers indicated how they perceived the traffic information system in terms of key attributes. Respondents also evaluated suggested improvements to the traffic information system. A majority (more than 60%) of drivers reported that they used traffic reports for modifying their trip decisions. Drivers perceived radio traffic reports positively in terms of information system attributes. Commuters were more likely to use traffic reports for their route changes if they perceived traffic reports to be accurate and timely, frequently listened to traffic reports, perceived their regular route as congested, knew multiple alternate routes, were male and higher income. Drivers were more likely to change departure times if they perceived traffic reports to be accurate and relevant, frequently listened to traffic reports and perceived their regular route as congested. Drivers indicated a relatively lower level of overall satisfaction with traffic reports indicating the existence of opportunities for improvement. One promising improvement is near-term prediction of traffic conditions on congested and unreliable routes (where conditions may change rapidly). This is because: • Drivers generally want to know the conditions at any given point (or link) along their route when they reach that point. • Drivers would be able to make better and more informed judgments regarding their trip decisions due to reduced uncertainty of traffic conditions. • The possibility that drivers may find traffic conditions significantly better or worse would be reduced. This would improve the credibility of radio traffic reports.
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交通报告对通勤者路线和出发时间变化的影响
在芝加哥地区,大量的公共和私人资源用于收集和传播实时交通信息。这些信息旨在帮助司机做出更明智的出行决定,但它对司机行为的影响在很大程度上仍未被探索。本研究旨在评估交通报告对路线和出发时间变化的影响。在上午的高峰时段,芝加哥市中心的汽车通勤者通过邮寄问卷的方式接受了调查。司机会根据交通报告表明他们是否改变了路线和出发时间。此外,司机指出他们如何感知交通信息系统的关键属性。受访者还对交通信息系统的改进建议进行了评估。大多数(超过60%)的司机报告说,他们使用交通报告来修改他们的出行决定。驾驶员认为无线电交通报告在信息系统属性方面是积极的。如果通勤者认为交通报告准确及时、经常收听交通报告、认为自己的常规路线拥堵、知道多条替代路线、是男性且收入较高,那么他们更有可能使用交通报告来改变路线。如果司机认为交通报告准确、相关、经常听交通报告、认为自己的常规路线拥堵,他们就更有可能改变出发时间。司机对交通报告的整体满意度相对较低,表明存在改善的机会。一项有希望的改进是对拥挤和不可靠路线(情况可能迅速变化)的交通状况进行短期预测。这是因为:•司机通常想知道他们到达路线上任何给定点(或链接)的情况。•由于减少了交通状况的不确定性,司机将能够做出更好、更明智的出行决定。•司机发现交通状况明显好转或明显恶化的可能性将会降低。这将提高无线电交通报告的可信度。
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