The Economic and Social Outcomes of Refugees in the United States: Evidence from the Acs

ERN: National Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI:10.3386/W23498
W. Evans, Daniel Fitzgerald
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引用次数: 97

Abstract

Using data from the 2010-2014 American Community Survey, we use a procedure suggested by Capps et al. (2015) to identify refugees from the larger group of immigrants to examine the outcomes of refugees relocated to the U.S. Among young adults, we show that refugees that enter the U.S. before age 14 graduate high school and enter college at the same rate as natives. Refugees that enter as older teenagers have lower attainment with much of the difference attributable to language barriers and because many in this group are not accompanied by a parent to the U.S. Among refugees that entered the U.S. at ages 18-45, we follow respondents’ outcomes over a 20-year period in a synthetic cohort. Refugees have much lower levels of education and poorer language skills than natives and outcomes are initially poor with low employment, high welfare use and low earnings. Outcomes improve considerably as refugees age. After 6 years in the country, these refugees work at higher rates than natives but they never attain the earning levels of U.S.-born respondents. Using the NBER TAXSIM program, we estimate that refugees pay $21,000 more in taxes than they receive in benefits over their first 20 years in the U.S.
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美国难民的经济和社会结果:来自美国的证据
使用2010-2014年美国社区调查的数据,我们使用Capps等人(2015)建议的程序从更大的移民群体中识别难民,以检查重新安置到美国的难民的结果。在年轻人中,我们表明,在14岁之前进入美国的难民高中毕业和进入大学的速度与本地人相同。年龄较大的青少年进入美国的难民成绩较低,这在很大程度上归因于语言障碍,而且因为这一群体中的许多人没有父母陪同前往美国。在18-45岁进入美国的难民中,我们在一个合成队列中跟踪了受访者20年期间的结果。与当地人相比,难民的教育水平低得多,语言技能也差得多,结果最初很差,就业率低,福利使用率高,收入低。随着难民年龄的增长,结果显著改善。在美国生活了6年后,这些难民的工作效率比当地人高,但他们的收入从未达到在美国出生的受访者的水平。根据NBER的TAXSIM项目,我们估计难民在美国的头20年里缴纳的税款比他们获得的福利多21,000美元
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