Recovery Rates and Macroeconomic Conditions: The Role of Loan Covenants

Zhipeng Zhang
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引用次数: 42

Abstract

For U.S. firms from 1988 to 2007, firms with stricter loan covenants had higher firm-level default recovery rates. Covenants were stricter, moreover, when set during downturns in the business cycle. This implies a negative dependence of recovery rates on lagged macroeconomic conditions. That is, bank loan contracts established in economic recessions have tight covenants, leading later to higher recovery rates. My empirical evidence suggests that private creditors have significant influence on firms' bankruptcy decisions through the channel of covenants in debt contracts.
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回收率和宏观经济条件:贷款契约的作用
对于1988年至2007年的美国公司来说,拥有更严格贷款条款的公司在公司层面的违约回收率更高。此外,在商业周期低迷时期订立的契约更为严格。这意味着经济复苏速度对滞后的宏观经济条件的负依赖。也就是说,在经济衰退期间建立的银行贷款合同有严格的条款,导致后来更高的回收率。我的经验证据表明,私人债权人通过债务合同中的契约渠道对企业破产决策具有显著影响。
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Recovery Rates and Macroeconomic Conditions: The Role of Loan Covenants
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