Going by the Book: Valuation Ratios and Stock Returns

Ki-Soon Choi, Eric C. So, Charles C. Y. Wang
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

We study the use of book-to-market ratios (B/M) in value investing and its implications for comovements in firms' stock returns and trading volumes. We show B/M has increasingly detached from alternative valuation ratios while becoming worse at forecasting returns and growth in an absolute and relative sense. Despite these trends, major U.S. stock indexes and institutional funds continue relying on B/M when identifying value stocks. Consistent with this reliance shaping market outcomes, we find firms' stock returns and trading volumes comove with B/M-peers (i.e., firms with similar B/M) in excess of their fundamentals, particularly among stocks held by value-oriented funds.
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按部就班:估值比率和股票回报
我们研究了账面市值比率(B/M)在价值投资中的应用及其对公司股票回报和交易量变动的影响。我们发现,B/M越来越脱离其他估值比率,同时在预测绝对和相对意义上的回报和增长方面变得更糟。尽管有这些趋势,美国主要股指和机构基金在确定价值股时仍然依赖于B/M。与这种影响市场结果的依赖一致,我们发现公司的股票回报和交易量与B/M同行(即具有相似B/M的公司)超过其基本面,特别是在价值导向基金持有的股票中。
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