Wind Speed Data Repairing Method Based on Bidirectional Prediction

Xincheng Shen, Y. Qu, Shaoxiong Huang, Zhi Li, Kaifeng Zhang
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Abstract

In order to repair the lost data in distributed wind power system, this paper puts forward a wind speed data repairing model based on a new bidirectional prediction method. This model consists of two one-way prediction models. In each prediction model, the original wind speed data are decomposed into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residue signal by ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method. Then the Savitzky–Golay (SG) filter is used to reduce noise for high-frequency IMFs. Next the long short-term memory (LSTM) model and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model are combined to predict low-frequency IMFs and the noise reduction results respectively. At the end, all those forecast results are added and form a one-way result. By weighted average of two one -way results, the repairing result is calculated. The experimental results from multiple prediction cases show that this method can get more accurate results.
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基于双向预测的风速数据修复方法
为了修复分布式风电系统中丢失的数据,本文提出了一种基于新型双向预测方法的风速数据修复模型。该模型由两个单向预测模型组成。在每个预测模型中,将原始风速数据通过集合经验模态分解(EEMD)方法分解为多个本征模态函数(IMFs)和一个残差信号。然后采用Savitzky-Golay (SG)滤波器对高频imf进行降噪。然后结合长短期记忆(LSTM)模型和自回归积分移动平均(ARIMA)模型分别预测低频imf和降噪结果。最后,将所有这些预测结果相加,形成一个单向结果。对两个单向结果进行加权平均,计算修复结果。多个预测实例的实验结果表明,该方法可以得到更准确的预测结果。
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