Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Provinsi Jambi 2012-2019

M. Yunus, Novi Mubyarto, Robi Agustin
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Abstract

The development achievement of an economic activity can be measured by economic growth. Economic growth will improve if there are activities carried out by humans for the prosperity of the earth and their prosperity. An important factor for increasing economic growth is international trade, one of which is exports. Allah SWT has created in every region and country the advantages and disadvantages. The main factor that also has an influence on the economic development of a country / region is investment activities. Regarding investment in the Al Qur’an, it is clearly stated that investing is a way that is ordered by Allah SWT not to leave the weak generation. In this study, an analysis of the economic growth of the province of Jambi was conducted in 2012-2019. The method used is multiple linear regression analysis. Based on the results of using the R application, there is a significant influence between the export variable and the investment variable on the economic growth variable. The modeling results obtained are Y = 5848.0543 + 0.8886X1 + 0.7929X2. Every increase in exports of 1 billion and investment is considered constant, it will increase economic growth by 0.8886 billion. Every increase in investment of 1 billion and exports are considered constant, it will increase economic growth by 0.7929 billion. The coefficient of determination of 94.06 percent means that the diversity of economic growth variables can be explained by the export and the investment, the remaining 5.94% is explained by other variables not included in the regression model.
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一项经济活动的发展成就可以用经济增长来衡量。如果人类为了地球的繁荣和人类的繁荣而开展活动,经济增长就会改善。促进经济增长的一个重要因素是国际贸易,其中之一就是出口。安拉SWT在每个地区和国家都创造了优势和劣势。影响一个国家/地区经济发展的主要因素是投资活动。关于投资,《古兰经》中明确指出,投资是真主SWT命令的一种方式,不离开弱者的一代。本研究对占碑省2012-2019年的经济增长进行了分析。采用多元线性回归分析方法。根据R应用的结果,出口变量和投资变量对经济增长变量有显著的影响。得到的建模结果为Y = 5848.0543 + 0.8886X1 + 0.7929X2。出口每增加10亿美元,投资保持不变,经济增长将增加8.886亿美元。投资每增加10亿美元,出口不变,经济增长可增加7.929亿美元。决定系数为94.06%,说明经济增长变量的多样性可以由出口和投资来解释,剩余的5.94%可以由回归模型中未包含的其他变量来解释。
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