Today's expert systems for simulating intelligent behavior; tomorrow's for exploring applications of thought processes

D. Hertz
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Abstract

The author expands on the ideas of H.A. Simon (1982) in the context of broad social consequences of apparently rational actions as they are influenced by artificial intelligence (AI-oriented) decision processes. He attempts to illustrate four themes: (1) that AI can provide logical methodologies for analyzing, understanding, and providing bases from which to attack the statistical uncertainties and entropic action behaviors necessarily included in intelligent social control processes; (2) that it can be understood and applied by those who are responsible for using such devices and controls; (3) that it requires studying and dealing with strategic alternatives within which many continually active tactical decisions must be included; and (4) that the domain knowledge of experts (who often do not agree) must be captured for any rational decision-making models to be able to bound what might otherwise be social chaos.<>
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今天模拟智能行为的专家系统;明天是探索思维过程的应用
作者在受人工智能(ai导向)决策过程影响的明显理性行为的广泛社会后果的背景下,扩展了H.A. Simon(1982)的观点。他试图说明四个主题:(1)人工智能可以提供分析、理解的逻辑方法,并提供攻击智能社会控制过程中必然包含的统计不确定性和熵行为的基础;(二)能够被负责使用该装置和控制装置的人员理解和应用;(3)它需要研究和处理战略选择,其中必须包括许多持续积极的战术决策;(4)任何理性的决策模型都必须掌握专家(通常意见不一)的领域知识,才能约束可能出现的社会混乱。
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