Prediction of EV Energy consumption Using Random Forest And XGBoost

Harshit Rathore, Hemant Kumar Meena, P. Jain
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

As climatic crisis increasing in the world due to the increasing pollution day by day, in which one of the important contributor is the increasing demand for energy,it has been found that 25 percent of the global energy consumption is only due to transportation sector, so in order to minimize the effect due to transportation sector we have to shift from Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) to battery based Electric Vehicle (EVs), there are several issues that need to be addressed to encourage the adoption of EVs on large scale, one of the severe effect due to large scale adoption of EVs is on the grid, large scale deployment of EVs causes overloading on the power grid due to the unscheduled charging of the EVs, in order to reduce this overloading of the grid proper scheduling algorithm are needed by which we can scheduled the charging of EVs and growing public charging demand for EVs. For this data-driven tools can be utilized which can predict the various parameters like energy consumption, time of charging, whether the EVs use charging stationtomorrow, use of DC fast charging etc, in this paper we are focusing on the prediction of energy consumption by using the historical charging data of the EVs by using various popular machine learning (ML) algorithm such as Random Forest, XGboost, linear Regression, ANN and DNN. The best predictive results are obtained by Random Forest and XGboost, and various result of past work is also discussed.
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基于随机森林和XGBoost的电动汽车能耗预测
由于污染日益增加,世界气候危机日益严重,其中一个重要因素是对能源的需求不断增加,已经发现全球能源消耗的25%仅来自交通运输部门,因此为了最大限度地减少交通运输部门的影响,我们必须从内燃机(ICE)转向基于电池的电动汽车(ev)。有几个问题需要解决,鼓励采用大规模电动汽车,严重的影响由于电动汽车大规模采用网格,大规模部署的电动汽车超载对电网造成由于计划外充电的电动汽车,以减少这个重载的网格需要适当的调度算法,我们可以将电动汽车的充电和不断增长的公共收费对电动汽车的需求。为此,可以利用数据驱动的工具来预测各种参数,如能耗、充电时间、电动汽车明天是否使用充电站、使用直流快速充电等,在本文中,我们重点利用各种流行的机器学习(ML)算法,如随机森林、XGboost、线性回归、ANN和DNN,利用电动汽车的历史充电数据来预测能耗。随机森林和XGboost的预测效果最好,并对以往工作的各种结果进行了讨论。
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