{"title":"Laplace versus the Normal Distribution for Daily Stock Market Returns","authors":"Gustavo Harckbart","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3479681","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Daily stock market return distributions seem to have tails that are much fatter than Normal Distribution models. This paper examines the possibility of the Laplace Distribution as a better alternative for modeling daily stock returns. Visual inspection of Q-Q plots seem to confirm the Laplace Distribution better fit to the data. The Laplace Distribution also managed to outperform the Normal Distribution in the K-S statistical tests, while being rejected by A-D tests. Although it seems like an improvement on the Normal hypothesis, the Laplace Distribution remains far from a perfect fit for real world stock market daily returns.","PeriodicalId":209192,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Asset Pricing Models (Topic)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Asset Pricing Models (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3479681","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Abstract
Daily stock market return distributions seem to have tails that are much fatter than Normal Distribution models. This paper examines the possibility of the Laplace Distribution as a better alternative for modeling daily stock returns. Visual inspection of Q-Q plots seem to confirm the Laplace Distribution better fit to the data. The Laplace Distribution also managed to outperform the Normal Distribution in the K-S statistical tests, while being rejected by A-D tests. Although it seems like an improvement on the Normal hypothesis, the Laplace Distribution remains far from a perfect fit for real world stock market daily returns.