On Robust Inference for Consumption-based Asset Pricing

Tim A. Kroencke
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Abstract

Kleibergen and Zhan (Robust Inference for Consumption-based Asset Pricing, Journal of Finance, 2020) propose a new approach to test consumption-based asset pricing models that is robust to the useless factor problem, i.e. concluding that a factor is priced when the factor is actually uncorrelated with the test assets. They find that recently proposed factors do not pass their test, which they attribute to a lack of factor correlation with the test assets. This conclusion is odd, as the factor correlation is significant and economically large, often 0.40 and above. Instead, I show that their testing approach lacks power in small samples. I propose simple remedies that help to achieve robust consumption-based asset pricing that comes with power.
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基于消费的资产定价稳健推理
Kleibergen和Zhan(《基于消费的资产定价稳健推断》,《金融杂志》,2020)提出了一种新的方法来测试基于消费的资产定价模型,该模型对无用因素问题具有鲁棒性,即得出结论,当一个因素实际上与测试资产不相关时,该因素就会定价。他们发现最近提出的因素没有通过他们的测试,他们将其归因于缺乏与测试资产的因素相关性。这个结论是奇怪的,因为因子相关性是显著的,经济上很大,通常在0.40以上。相反,我表明他们的测试方法在小样本中缺乏能力。我提出了一些简单的补救措施,有助于实现以消费为基础的资产定价机制。
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