CO2 Emission and Absorption Estimation in Bandung City by Implementing CO2 Emission Rate Reduction Simulation Using the Stella Program

N. Christiani, Y. Hidayat, Sutrisno Trisno
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Abstract

Bandung CO2 emissions continue to increase in line with its population. The emissions source comes from the industrial, transportation, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), household, and livestock sectors, whereas CO2 absorption only comes from vegetation through photosynthesis. High CO2 emissions could decrease air quality and reduce environmental health. This study aims to estimate the amount of CO2 emissions and their absorption in Bandung by implementing CO2 Emission Rate Reduction Simulation (CERRS). The simulation comprises four scenarios, namely substitution of vehicle fuel and the application of smart driving techniques, optimization of waste processing in IWPS, processing 90% of livestock waste into biogas, and green space development of 30% of Bandung City area. Estimated CO2 emission and absorption rates were calculated for the next 10 years (2021-2030) using the Stella program version 9.0.2. The results showed that without implementing the CERRS, the amount of CO2 emissions in Bandung in 2030 was estimated to reach 10,983,666.82 tons while implementing the CERRS was 2,361,721.30 tons. Without implementing the CERRS, the estimated amount of CO2 absorptions in 2030 was 214,235.11 tons, while implementing the CERRS was 2,785,703.11 tons. It is expected that the application of the CERRS could reduce the level of CO2 emissions in Bandung by 78.5% and increase CO2 absorptions by 1,200.3%.
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利用Stella程序实施CO2减排模拟估算万隆市CO2排放和吸收
万隆的二氧化碳排放量继续随着人口增长而增加。排放源来自工业、交通运输、液化石油气(LPG)、家庭和畜牧业,而二氧化碳的吸收仅来自植被的光合作用。二氧化碳的高排放会降低空气质量,损害环境健康。本研究旨在通过CO2排放率降低模拟(CERRS)估算万隆市的CO2排放量及其吸收量。模拟包括汽车燃料替代与智能驾驶技术应用、IWPS废弃物处理优化、90%禽畜废弃物转化为沼气、万隆市区30%绿地开发等4个场景。使用9.0.2版Stella程序计算了未来10年(2021-2030年)的二氧化碳排放量和吸收率。结果表明,在不实施CERRS的情况下,万隆市2030年的二氧化碳排放量预计为10,983,666.82吨,而实施CERRS的排放量为2,361,721.30吨。在未实施CERRS的情况下,预计2030年二氧化碳吸收量为214,235.11吨,而实施CERRS的二氧化碳吸收量为2,785,703.11吨。预计CERRS的应用将使万隆的二氧化碳排放量减少78.5%,二氧化碳吸收量增加1200.3%。
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