The French Proposal: A Turning Point in the Balkans or a Dead End?

Ognen Vangelov
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Abstract

North Macedonia’s long-standing bid for EU accession was hindered by a Bulgarian veto that had lasted for two years until a French proposal emerged as a last-minute solution. However, this proposal presents potential pitfalls for new vetoes and has exacerbated political polarization in North Macedonia, thereby threatening inter- ethnic relations in the country. The proposal requires North Macedonia to include ethnic Bulgarians in its constitutional preamble, a move that seems unlikely given the opposition’s firm resistance to any such constitutional amendment. This raises questions about the EU’s decision to comply with the Bulgarian demands and the likelihood of achieving a sustainable solution to long-standing bilateral issues.
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法国提议:巴尔干半岛的转折点还是死胡同?
北马其顿长期以来加入欧盟的努力一直受到保加利亚的否决的阻碍,这种否决持续了两年,直到法国在最后一刻提出了一项提案。然而,这一提议为新的否决权提供了潜在的陷阱,并加剧了北马其顿的政治两极分化,从而威胁到该国的种族间关系。该提案要求北马其顿在其宪法序言中包括保加利亚人,鉴于反对派对任何此类宪法修正案的坚决抵制,此举似乎不太可能。这使人们怀疑欧盟是否决定遵守保加利亚的要求,以及能否就长期存在的双边问题达成可持续的解决办法。
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