Covid-19 Patients' Hospital Occupancy Prediction During the Recent Omicron Wave via some Recurrent Deep Learning Architectures

Abstract

This paper described a suggested model to predict bed occupancy for Covid-19 patients by country during the rapid spread of the Omicron variant. This model can be used to make decisions on the introduction or alleviation of restrictive measures and on the prediction of oxygen and health human resource requirements. To predict Covid-19 hospital occupancy, we tested some recurrent deep learning architectures. To train the model, we referred to Covid-19 hospital occupancy data from 15 countries whose curves started their regressions during January 2022. The studied period covers the month of December 2021 and the beginning of January 2022, which represents the period of strong contagion of the omicron variant around the world. The evolution sequences of hospital occupancy, vaccination percentages and median ages of populations were used to train our model. The results are very promising which could help to better manage the current pandemic peak.