Years of Government Agricultural Investment in Nigeria: Any Significant Effect on Agricultural Output? (Recent Evidence)

Ime Okon Utuk
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Abstract

Despite the agricultural sector’s robust performance, Nigeria remains vulnerable to food insecurity and is unable to meet domestic demand. This study seeks the empirically analyze the impact of government agricultural investment on the growth of agricultural output in Nigeria.The study covers the period 1981–2020 using annual data from secondary sources and Augmented Dickey fuller (ADF) test was deployed to test their stationarity. The result from the short run autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model results show that government agriculture investment in Nigeria affects agricultural output positively. As such, the government of Nigeria should make more budgetary allocation towards agricultural sector by balancing support across small-scale farming and existing investments as well as support in women farmers.
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尼日利亚多年的政府农业投资:对农业产出有显著影响吗?(最近的证据)
尽管农业部门表现强劲,但尼日利亚仍然容易受到粮食不安全的影响,无法满足国内需求。本研究旨在实证分析尼日利亚政府农业投资对农业产出增长的影响。本研究涵盖1981-2020年期间,使用二手来源的年度数据,并采用增强Dickey fuller (ADF)检验来检验其平稳性。短期自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型结果表明,尼日利亚政府农业投资对农业产出有正向影响。因此,尼日利亚政府应该通过平衡对小规模农业和现有投资的支持以及对妇女农民的支持,为农业部门提供更多的预算拨款。
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