The Analysis of E-commerce Data: Based on LoT Model

Lin Li, Weijia Zeng, Fang Qin, Peng Xu
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Abstract

Cross-border e-commerce provides a new channel for the development of foreign trade. However, in cross-border e-commerce trade, factors including language, culture, distance and others make the information asymmetry between buyers and sellers more prominent. And the transaction risk is more serious than other types of transactions. This paper analyzes the formation mechanism of sellers' default behavior and transaction data risk in cross-border e-commerce. Based on the theoretical model, the real transaction data of Amazon platform was used as the machine learning training set to derive the behavior function of buyers and sellers. Based on the complex adaptive system theory of simulation economics and agent swarm model. Also, this paper constructs an intelligent dynamic simulation system of cross-border e-commerce transaction risk under incomplete information situations and simulates the seller's default behavior. Finally the paper systematically analyzes the formation mechanism of multi-round cross-border e-commerce transaction risk under incomplete information situations by comparing the simulation results.
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基于LoT模型的电子商务数据分析
跨境电子商务为对外贸易的发展提供了新的渠道。然而,在跨境电子商务贸易中,语言、文化、距离等因素使得买卖双方的信息不对称更加突出。而且交易风险比其他类型的交易更严重。本文分析了跨境电子商务中卖家违约行为的形成机制和交易数据风险。在理论模型的基础上,以亚马逊平台的真实交易数据作为机器学习训练集,推导出买卖双方的行为函数。基于模拟经济学的复杂自适应系统理论和智能体群模型。构建了不完全信息情况下跨境电子商务交易风险的智能动态仿真系统,模拟了卖方的违约行为。最后通过对比仿真结果,系统分析了不完全信息情况下多轮跨境电子商务交易风险的形成机制。
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