Empirical Analysis on Household Savings in Malaysia

Nur Liyana Mohamed Yousop, Wan Mohd Farid Wan Zakaria, Z. Ahmad, Ahmad A'thif Abdul Manan
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Abstract

The Malaysian household saving growth has shown weakened patterns from year to year. Low-income level, overspending and black swan economic events result in nosedived household savings. To explain this issue, this study empirically examined factors affecting household savings in Malaysia. The analysis was based on time-series data gathered from World Bank Data, CEIC Data and Department of Statistic of Malaysia from 1970 until 2018. The ordinary least square (OLS) regression analysis was used to examine the significant relationship among dependent variable (household savings, proxy gross domestic savings) and independent variables which consist of interest rate, inflation rate, age dependency ratio, consumption expenditure and income. The findings from this study reveal that the interest rate and household consumption expenditure have significant negative relationships with the household savings, while age dependency ratio, inflation rate and income have insignificant relationships with the household savings.
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马来西亚居民储蓄的实证分析
马来西亚家庭储蓄增长呈现出逐年减弱的趋势。低收入水平、过度消费和黑天鹅经济事件导致家庭储蓄急剧下降。为了解释这一问题,本研究对影响马来西亚家庭储蓄的因素进行了实证研究。该分析基于1970年至2018年期间从世界银行数据、CEIC数据和马来西亚统计局收集的时间序列数据。采用普通最小二乘(OLS)回归分析检验因变量(家庭储蓄、代理国内储蓄总额)与自变量(利率、通货膨胀率、年龄抚养比、消费支出和收入)之间的显著关系。本研究发现,利率、家庭消费支出与家庭储蓄呈显著负相关,而年龄抚养比、通货膨胀率和收入与家庭储蓄的关系不显著。
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