Adaptation of the Russian Food Market to the Contemporary Geopolitical Challenges

I. Ivolga
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Abstract

Domestic markets of agricultural commodities are increasingly influenced by trade integration and liberalization. Current uncertain political and economic relations in the macro-region of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Eastern and Western Europe, international tensions around Russia-Ukraine problem, bilateral economic and trade sanctions between Russia and such global economic powers as the USA and the EU transform market patterns and affect agricultural production, rural development and food security in both the CIS and worldwide. The chapter aims to discover the expected influences of such trade restrictions on trade in agricultural commodities, to assess the degree of distortion and return effects on domestic food markets. Chapter specifically addresses possible effects of trade restrictions between the EU, the USA, and other countries from one side, and Russia from the other, particularly imposed ban on agricultural trade. It is concluded with the overview of the expected influences of trade tensions on Russia's domestic food market.
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俄罗斯食品市场对当代地缘政治挑战的适应
国内农产品市场日益受到贸易一体化和自由化的影响。当前,独联体宏观区域、东欧和西欧不确定的政治和经济关系,围绕俄乌问题的国际紧张局势,俄罗斯与美国、欧盟等全球经济大国之间的双边经贸制裁,改变了独联体和世界范围内的市场格局,影响了农业生产、农村发展和粮食安全。本章旨在发现此类贸易限制对农产品贸易的预期影响,评估其对国内粮食市场的扭曲程度和回报效应。本章特别讨论了欧盟、美国和其他国家之间的贸易限制,以及俄罗斯之间的贸易限制可能产生的影响,特别是对农业贸易的禁令。最后概述了贸易紧张局势对俄罗斯国内食品市场的预期影响。
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