Forecasting energy prices in a competitive market

J. Bastian, Jinxiang Zhu, V. Banunarayanan, R. Mukerji
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引用次数: 170

Abstract

Deregulation is intended to encourage competition among utilities and power marketers to reduce energy prices. The pricing system is very critical in restructuring the electrical industry and depends upon market rules and the function of the independent system operator (ISO). The locational marginal pricing (LMP) system is in use in the Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland (PJM) Interconnection ISO and is proposed for the New York ISO, which is expected to be in operation in 1999. This article provides fundamental concepts of the LMP and outlines the basic requirements for a computer simulation tool to accurately forecast prices in an LMP-based market. Examples are used to demonstrate the concepts, and some preliminary results for the Eastern Interconnection are presented.
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预测竞争市场中的能源价格
放松管制的目的是鼓励公用事业和电力营销商之间的竞争,以降低能源价格。定价制度在电力工业重组中是非常关键的,它取决于市场规则和独立系统运营商(ISO)的功能。地点边际定价系统已在宾夕法尼亚、新泽西、马里兰(PJM)互连国际标准中使用,并建议在纽约国际标准中使用,预计将于1999年开始运作。本文提供了LMP的基本概念,并概述了计算机模拟工具在基于LMP的市场中准确预测价格的基本要求。用实例说明了这些概念,并给出了东部互联的一些初步结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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