Beating the quinella

W. Ziemba
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Abstract

The quinella is easier to win than the exacta because instead of having to predict the precise one-two finish you merely have to select the top two finishers. The order of finish is immaterial. It is about twice as easy to win a particular bet in the quinella as opposed to the exacta, hence the payoffs are about half as much. Quinella bets are not as popular as exactas or triactors because they have smaller payoffs. Hence many tracks are phasing them out or minimizing their use. However, they are still used in many racetracks and serve as an exotic bet that is intermediate between the win bet and the exactor. You must select the winner and the second horse. Hence payoffs will usually but not always exceed win payoffs and will always, except for very strange betting pools, be smaller than exacta payoffs would be…
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打quinella
quinella比exacta更容易赢得比赛,因为你只需要选择前两名就可以了,而不需要预测准确的倒数第二名。完成的顺序无关紧要。在“奎尼拉”中赢得特定赌注的难度大约是“精确”赌注的两倍,因此收益大约是前者的一半。奎尼拉赌局不像精确赌局或三角赌局那样受欢迎,因为它们的回报较小。因此,许多轨道正在逐步淘汰或尽量减少它们的使用。然而,它们仍然在许多赛马场中使用,并作为一种奇特的赌注,介于赢赌注和下注者之间。你必须选出获胜者和第二匹马。因此,收益通常(但不总是)会超过获胜收益,并且总是(除了非常奇怪的投注池)小于确切的收益。
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