One Strike and You're Out: The Effects of the Master Lever on Senators' Positions

O. Gorelkina, I. Grypari
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Abstract

This paper accounts for the effects of the master lever (ML), aka the straight-ticket voting option, on elected US senators from 1960 till 2012. The ML, still present in some states, allows voters to select a specific party for all elections listed on a ballot, as opposed to filling out each office individually. Introducing it leads to an increase in the number of partisan votes, and thus changes the groups of voters targeted by parties and shifts the positions of senatorial candidates. Theoretically, we examine this change in tradeoffs by building a model of pre-election competition. Empirically, we use a triple-difference estimator to account for selection into treatment and find that, controlling for party trends, the ML has led to a right-wing shift of senatorial positions; an effect that is larger for the Republican party. We use the theory to explain how the political climate, as observed in the data, has implied the specific result.
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一次罢工,你出局:主杠杆对参议员立场的影响
本文分析了主杠杆(ML),即直接投票选项,对1960年至2012年当选的美国参议员的影响。在一些州仍然存在的ML允许选民为选票上列出的所有选举选择一个特定的政党,而不是单独填写每个办公室。引入这一制度会增加党派投票,从而改变政党所针对的选民群体,从而改变参议员候选人的立场。从理论上讲,我们通过建立选举前竞争模型来检验这种权衡的变化。从经验上看,我们使用三差估计器来考虑选择治疗,并发现,控制政党趋势,ML导致参议院立场的右翼转变;对共和党的影响更大。我们用这个理论来解释在数据中观察到的政治气候是如何暗示具体结果的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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