PENGARUH EKSPOR, IMPOR, DAN INFLASI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA

Fita Faelasufa Kusuma Dhea
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Abstract

The study's goal is to examine how long- and short-term changes in exports, imports, and inflation affect Indonesia's economic growth. Data was compiled from secondary sources including Central Statistics Agency and the World Bank's records from 1995-2020. EViews 10 was used to conduct a regression analysis utilizing an ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model. According to the findings of the test of the analysis's short-term relevance, exports have a negative and insignificant influence, but imports and inflation have a positive and insignificant effect. Exports have a positive and major influence in the long run, whereas imports and inflation have a negative and major influence.
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出口、进口和通货膨胀对印尼经济增长的影响
这项研究的目的是考察出口、进口和通货膨胀的长期和短期变化对印尼经济增长的影响。数据来自二手来源,包括中央统计局和世界银行1995年至2020年的记录。使用EViews 10进行回归分析,采用ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag)模型。根据分析的短期相关性检验结果,出口具有负向且不显著的影响,而进口和通货膨胀具有正向且不显著的影响。从长远来看,出口具有积极和重大的影响,而进口和通货膨胀则具有消极和重大的影响。
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