Adaptive Project Risk Management

L. Deleris, K. Katircioglu, Shubir Kapoor, Richard B. Lam, S. Bagchi
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

IT projects tend to be associated with over-budget and late deliveries. In this paper, we describe a method for improving project management based on (a) a thorough analysis of risks affecting activities in a project plan, i.e., the root factors leading to cost and time overruns, and (b) an optimization of the resources allocated to each activity in the project plan in order to maximize the probability of completing on time and within-budget. One key feature of our method is its capability to adapt and learn the risk factors affecting activities during the course of the project, which enables project managers to dynamically reallocate resources to ensure a better outcome given the updated risk profile.
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适应性项目风险管理
IT项目往往与预算超支和延迟交付联系在一起。在本文中,我们描述了一种改进项目管理的方法,该方法基于(a)对影响项目计划中活动的风险进行彻底分析,即导致成本和时间超支的根本因素,以及(b)优化分配给项目计划中每个活动的资源,以最大限度地提高按时和在预算内完成的可能性。我们的方法的一个关键特征是它能够适应和学习影响项目过程中活动的风险因素,这使得项目经理能够动态地重新分配资源,以确保在给定更新的风险概况的情况下获得更好的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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