A Systematic Approach to Maximizing Search Capabilities for Finding Trapped Survivors in Collapsed Structures

Emily Aprigliano, Beth Ellinport, Allison Forsyth, H. Rowe
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Abstract

The collapse of the Champlain Tower in Surfside Florida on June 24, 2021 and its subsequent 14-day search and rescue mission caused public and government concerns about the efficiency of urban search and rescue (USAR) strategies. There is, however, no published tool for assessing search findings from a disciplined search methodology, supported by data from USAR missions. Each task force must therefore rely on its own expertise. In this project, we developed a decision support tool prototype that promotes the establishment of a systematic, probability-based strategy to project the survival likelihood for any given area of a collapsed structure. The tool is designed to combine multiple experts' onsite survival probability assessments to assist USAR leaders in making informed decisions about the length and effectiveness of rescue missions based on the unique and evolving factors of a collapse. The probability-based tool is intended to increase the certainty and reduce the time needed for decision makers to conclude that any and all survivors have been found. The time and resources saved by using this tool can then be directed towards other collapse sites or to other post-disaster recovery efforts for the community.
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在倒塌建筑物中寻找被困幸存者的最大搜索能力的系统方法
2021年6月24日,佛罗里达州Surfside的尚普兰塔(Champlain Tower)倒塌,以及随后为期14天的搜救任务,引发了公众和政府对城市搜救(USAR)策略效率的担忧。然而,尚无公开的工具来评估由USAR特派团的数据支持的有纪律的搜索方法的搜索结果。因此,每个工作队必须依靠自己的专门知识。在这个项目中,我们开发了一个决策支持工具原型,它促进了一个系统的、基于概率的策略的建立,以预测任何给定区域的倒塌结构的生存可能性。该工具旨在结合多位专家的现场生存概率评估,以帮助USAR领导者根据崩溃的独特和不断变化的因素,就救援任务的长度和有效性做出明智的决策。基于概率的工具旨在增加确定性,并减少决策者得出任何和所有幸存者已被找到的结论所需的时间。使用此工具节省的时间和资源可以用于其他坍塌地点或社区的其他灾后恢复工作。
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