Research on the Interactive Relationship between Agriculture and Logistics Industry in Guangdong Province from the Perspective of Supply Side Reform

Yan-Li Fang
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Abstract

To study the interaction between agriculture and logistics,selecting agricultural output value data and logistics industry data from 2000 to 2017 in Guangdong Province, this paper makes an empirical analysis of these two industries by using Eviews 6.0 and based on Co-integration theory, it is concluded that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between agriculture and logistics in Guangdong Province.On this basis, the VAR model is constructed and analyzed by Granger test and impulse response function. It shows that the logistics industry is the Granger cause of agriculture, giving the logistics industry a positive impact, which can bring long-term significant positive to the development of agriculture. Impact; but agriculture is not the Granger cause of the logistics industry, giving a positive impact on agriculture has no significant impact on the logistics industry.
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供给侧改革视角下广东省农业与物流业互动关系研究
为研究农业与物流的互动关系,选取2000 - 2017年广东省农业产值数据和物流业数据,运用Eviews 6.0软件,基于协整理论对两者进行实证分析,得出广东省农业与物流存在长期均衡关系的结论。在此基础上,构建VAR模型,并运用Granger检验和脉冲响应函数进行分析。研究表明,物流业是农业的格兰杰原因,物流业对农业产生了积极的影响,对农业的发展能够带来长期显著的积极影响。影响;但农业不是物流业的格兰杰原因,对农业的正向影响对物流业的影响不显著。
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