Bilateral trade agreements and the rise of global supply chains

Zdzisław W. Puślecki
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Abstract

This paper investigates the influence of the rise global supply chains on bilateral trade agreements. Given that a few multinational firms are responsible for a major share of world trade, our findings suggest that these firms may support regulatory harmonization across different Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) to lower trade costs or resist harmonization – and encourage certain non-tariff measures – to prevent new competitors from entering markets. The finding partly explains the persistence of regulatory divergence. Building on institutional and comparative trade hypothesis, the findings of the paper present new tendencies in the foreign trade policy: the impact of the rise global supply chains on the political economy of trade, motivations for countries in cooperating on trade policies, and the increasing importance of bilateral agreements in the foreign trade policy. Additionally, the findings suggest that the political economy of regulatory convergence may be more complex than is sometimes suggested in the prior literature.
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双边贸易协定和全球供应链的兴起
本文研究了全球供应链的兴起对双边贸易协定的影响。鉴于少数跨国公司在世界贸易中占有很大份额,我们的研究结果表明,这些公司可能支持不同优惠贸易协定(pta)之间的监管协调,以降低贸易成本或抵制协调,并鼓励某些非关税措施,以防止新的竞争者进入市场。这一发现部分解释了监管分歧的持续存在。基于制度和比较贸易假设,本文的研究结果提出了对外贸易政策的新趋势:全球供应链崛起对贸易政治经济学的影响,各国在贸易政策上合作的动机,以及双边协定在对外贸易政策中的重要性日益增加。此外,研究结果表明,监管趋同的政治经济学可能比以往文献中有时提出的更为复杂。
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