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Inflation targeting and exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: evidence from South Africa 通胀目标制和汇率传导至国内价格:来自南非的证据
Pub Date : 2017-10-22 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I05.294
Oluwasheyi S. Oladipo
Inflation targeting is increasingly seen as a crucial monetary policy by many economies in their quest for economic growth. The choice of an appropriate exchange rate regime, continue to be crucial in macroeconomic policy. Using data from 1970q1 to 2015q4, the paper examines the effects of inflation targeting on exchange rate pass-through. Applying a VAR model, the results show that inflation targeting has significant impacts on the movements of inflation, output and the exchange rate. The pass-through to consumer prices decreased and there was a reduction in the influence of foreign producer costs on imports prices after adopting inflation targeting Classification JEL: B22; F41; N00
通胀目标制越来越被许多经济体视为寻求经济增长的一项关键货币政策。选择一种适当的汇率制度,在宏观经济政策中仍然至关重要。本文利用1970年第一季度至2015年第四季度的数据,检验了通胀目标制对汇率传递的影响。运用VAR模型,结果表明通货膨胀目标制对通货膨胀、产出和汇率的变动有显著影响。采用通货膨胀目标制后,对消费者价格的传导作用下降,外国生产商成本对进口价格的影响减少。F41;N00
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引用次数: 2
Recent monetary policy effects on Japanese macroeconomy 近期货币政策对日本宏观经济的影响
Pub Date : 2017-10-22 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I05.296
Y. Kurihara
This paper empirically analyzes the effects of recent monetary policy based on expected and real-time data for Japan. Also, expected data between different time periods would have impacts on the economy and are taken into account. Since the 2000s, Japan has experienced a serious recession and low or zero interest rates policy has been conducted, so such a special situation might have influence on the economy. The empirical results show that past forecast error data of GDP plays a significant role on macro economy in Japan, however, impacts on the economy are not found during a longer period, over a quarter. Furthermore, forecast data is not crucial to the economy.
本文基于日本的预期数据和实时数据对近期货币政策的效果进行了实证分析。此外,不同时期之间的预期数据将对经济产生影响,并被考虑在内。自2000年代以来,日本经历了严重的经济衰退,并实施了低利率或零利率政策,因此这种特殊情况可能会对经济产生影响。实证结果表明,过去的GDP预测误差数据对日本宏观经济有显著的影响,但在一个季度以上的较长时间内对经济没有影响。此外,预测数据对经济并不重要。
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引用次数: 1
Socio-economy and stock market volatility 社会经济和股市波动
Pub Date : 2017-10-21 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I04.292
S. Hossain, M. Abedin
We evaluate how stock market return volatility behaves with respect to socioeconomic factors namely- interest rate volatility, foreign exchange rate volatility, S P C02; C22; D53; E22
我们评估了股票市场收益波动如何与社会经济因素相关,即利率波动、外汇汇率波动、标普二氧化碳;C22;D53;E22
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引用次数: 1
Monthly rental price of a comparable home and the pricing of a two-bedroom home 类似房屋的月租价格和两居室房屋的价格
Pub Date : 2017-09-16 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I04.257
Kristoffer Michael Warren
Using single and multivariate OLS regressions, this study examines how the listing price of a two bedroom home is affected by the monthly rental price of a comparable home in the same city. We do this in order to provide some direction to young families looking to purchase their first home. Our data encompasses each state’s most populated city within the United States. This study reveals that as the monthly rental price of a comparable home (especially condos) increases, and/or as the price-to-rent ratio increases, so does the listing price of a two bedroom home. Therefore, a frugal home buyer should keep an eye on both comparable rental prices, and on the price-to-rent ratio within their city of interest. When rental prices drop, or when the price-to-rent ratio decreases, that is when a homebuyer should begin to consider the purchase of a two-bedroom home.
使用单变量和多变量OLS回归,本研究考察了同一城市可比住宅的月租金价格如何影响两居室住宅的挂牌价格。我们这样做是为了给想要购买第一套房子的年轻家庭提供一些指导。我们的数据涵盖了美国各州人口最多的城市。这项研究表明,随着类似房屋(尤其是公寓)的月租价格上涨,和/或随着租售比的增加,两居室房屋的挂牌价格也会上涨。因此,节俭的购房者应该关注可比的租金价格,以及他们感兴趣的城市的租售比。当租金价格下降,或者当租售比下降时,购房者就应该开始考虑购买一套两居室的房子。
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引用次数: 0
Oil price volatility and macroeconomy: Tales from top two oil producing economies in Africa 油价波动与宏观经济:来自非洲两大产油经济体的故事
Pub Date : 2017-09-16 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I04.283
B. Eagle
This study examines the relationship between oil price volatility and macroeconomic performance in two top net oil exporting countries in Africa (Angola and Nigeria) using quarterly data from International Monetary Fund, Central Bank of Nigeria and Angola were used to carry out the empirical analysis. Using structural Vector Autoregressive Model (SVAR), E(GARCH) and Granger Causality test results shows that oil price volatility has marginal impact on growth rate of GDP in both countries. Both impulse response function and variance decomposition shows that shocks to exchange rate from oil price volatility was the highest i.e. exchange rate appreciates when oil price increases and depreciates when oil price reduces. The Granger causality test shows that the direction of causality between oil price volatility and macroeconomic variables in Nigeria was bi-directional while the relationship in Angola was unidirectional. Hence, both countries (Angola and Nigeria) should improve upon the refining capacity of their crude oil. Also, economic diversification should be strengthening to promote indigenous production to reduce importation of those goods that could be endogenously produced Classification JEL: E6; E30, E31
本研究利用国际货币基金组织的季度数据,考察了非洲两个最大的石油净出口国(安哥拉和尼日利亚)的油价波动与宏观经济表现之间的关系,并利用尼日利亚中央银行和安哥拉中央银行进行了实证分析。利用结构向量自回归模型(SVAR)、GARCH和格兰杰因果关系检验结果表明,油价波动对两国GDP增长率均有边际影响。脉冲响应函数和方差分解表明,油价波动对汇率的冲击最大,即油价上涨时汇率升值,油价下跌时汇率贬值。格兰杰因果检验表明,尼日利亚的油价波动与宏观经济变量之间的因果关系是双向的,而安哥拉的关系是单向的。因此,这两个国家(安哥拉和尼日利亚)应该提高其原油的炼油能力。此外,应加强经济多样化,以促进本地生产,减少那些可在本地生产的货物的进口。E30, E31
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引用次数: 10
Sources of oil price shocks and external balance in Ghana 石油价格冲击的来源和加纳的外部平衡
Pub Date : 2017-09-15 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I04.295
W. Cantah, C. Obeng, W. Brafu-Insaidoo
Faced with intermittent challenges of maintaining a stable external balance, several reports (see for example Bank of Ghana, 2005, 2009, 2015) attribute external imbalances to oil price shocks as a primary concern. Developments in the oil price literature however, suggest that effect oil price shock on macroeconomic variables depends on the source of the price shock. Hence, we examin the impact of oil price shocks on Ghana's external balance considering the source of the price shock. We employ a two-stage estimation which involved SVAR and ARDL. Results reveal that oil demand shocks tend to have a positive long run effect on external balance and oil market specific demand shock was also found to negative long run effect. Whereas oil supply shock was found to have a negative impact on trade balance and current account balance, its effect on capital account balance was positive. The implication of this result is that output in industrial commodities must be expanded following an oil price shock that is as a result of oil demand shock, since oil demand shock is usually an indication of expansion in global economic activities and leads increased demand for such commodities.
面对维持稳定外部平衡的间歇性挑战,一些报告(例如加纳银行,2005年、2009年、2015年)将外部失衡归因于油价冲击,这是一个主要问题。然而,油价文献的发展表明,油价冲击对宏观经济变量的影响取决于价格冲击的来源。因此,考虑到价格冲击的来源,我们研究了油价冲击对加纳外部平衡的影响。我们采用了SVAR和ARDL两阶段估计。结果表明,石油需求冲击对外部平衡具有正的长期效应,石油市场特定需求冲击对外部平衡具有负的长期效应。石油供应冲击对贸易平衡和经常项目平衡产生负向影响,对资本项目平衡产生正向影响。这一结果的含义是,在石油需求冲击造成的石油价格冲击之后,工业商品的产出必须扩大,因为石油需求冲击通常是全球经济活动扩张的迹象,并导致对此类商品的需求增加。
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引用次数: 0
Total quality management (TQM), organizational characteristics and competitive advantage 全面质量管理(TQM)、组织特征与竞争优势
Pub Date : 2017-08-15 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I04.293
A. Yousif, N. Najm, Jasser A. Al-Ensour
We investigate two issues. The first is to determine the impact of TQM dimensions of a medical care system (quality system, quality leadership, medical and sanitary staff, relationship with patient, relationships with suppliers, and continuous improvement) on the hospital competitive advantage (innovation, competitive benchmarking) in sample Jordanian hospitals. The second is to explore the moderating effect of two basic organizational characteristics: the size and the age of a hospital, on the relationship between TQM dimensions and competitive advantage. Our finding indicates that five TQM dimensions (QS, QL, RP, RS, and CI) have a positive impact on hospital innovation and reputation. This result is compatible with the main findings of many previous field studies. (Prajogo and suhal, 2003; Hung et al., 2010; Abrunhosa and Sa, 2008; Bon and Mustafa, 2013, Silva et al., 2014). This result could be attributed to a continuous improvement of hospital services quality (the sixth of the main dimensions of TQM). Continuous improvement (CI) is synonymous to innovation because both imply changes and modifications to health service.
我们调查两个问题。首先是确定医疗保健系统的TQM维度(质量体系、质量领导、医疗和卫生人员、与患者的关系、与供应商的关系以及持续改进)对约旦样本医院竞争优势(创新、竞争基准)的影响。二是探讨医院规模和院龄两个基本组织特征对TQM各维度与竞争优势关系的调节作用。我们的研究发现,五个TQM维度(QS、QL、RP、RS和CI)对医院创新和声誉有正向影响。这一结果与以往许多实地研究的主要发现是一致的。(Prajogo和suhal, 2003;Hung et al., 2010;Abrunhosa and Sa, 2008;Bon and Mustafa, 2013, Silva et al., 2014)。这一结果可归因于医院服务质量的不断提高(全面质量管理的第六个主要维度)。持续改进(CI)是创新的同义词,因为两者都意味着对卫生服务的改变和修改。
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引用次数: 7
Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: A Study on South Asian LDCs 外国直接投资与经济增长:南亚最不发达国家研究
Pub Date : 2017-08-14 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I04.311
H. Haque
Least developed economies strive for foreign capital as they suffer from capital constraints to accelerate growth and economic transformation, while macroeconomists debate on the impact of FDI in economic performance. South Asian LDCs continue to treat FDI inflow as a key development factor, and continue to adopt FDI-friendly policies, though only a few studies were conducted for testing the impact of FDI in the context of this region. This study extends the previous empirical studies on south Asian LDCs by developing a new framework specifying direct and spill-over effects of FDI, and providing evidence from panel data analysis for the period 1980-2014. The results show positive effect of FDI for both direct and externalities effect. It is also evidenced from this study that the impact of FDI is much stronger after 1990.
最不发达经济体努力争取外国资本,因为它们面临加速增长和经济转型的资本限制,而宏观经济学家则就外国直接投资对经济表现的影响进行辩论。南亚最不发达国家继续将外国直接投资流入视为一个关键的发展因素,并继续采取有利于外国直接投资的政策,尽管只有少数研究是为了检验外国直接投资对该区域的影响。本研究扩展了以往对南亚最不发达国家的实证研究,开发了一个新的框架,具体说明了外国直接投资的直接和溢出效应,并提供了1980-2014年期间面板数据分析的证据。结果表明,外商直接投资在直接效应和外部性效应两方面都具有积极作用。本研究还表明,1990年以后FDI的影响要大得多。
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引用次数: 0
Proportional Hazards Model of Bank Failure: Evidence from USA 银行倒闭的比例风险模型:来自美国的证据
Pub Date : 2017-07-25 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I3.290
Raymond A. K. Cox, Randall K. Kimmel, G. Wang
This study uses the Cox Proportional Hazards Model, examining the operating and financial characteristics of banks as well as market and economic conditions, to demonstrate what caused US bank failures. Consistent effects indicate US banks were more likely to survive when having higher capital, loan to assets, short term debt securities, and return on assets. The failure rate was greater when their loan loss allowances and past due accounts were high. The results of this research will help banks, central banks, governments, and regulators to forecast which banks are in financial trouble and understand why. They can then take effective action to shore up the financial strength of the affected banks as well as the financial system.
本研究使用Cox比例风险模型,考察银行的经营和财务特征以及市场和经济条件,以证明导致美国银行倒闭的原因。持续的影响表明,当美国银行拥有更高的资本、资产贷款比率、短期债务证券和资产回报率时,它们更有可能生存下来。当他们的贷款损失准备金和逾期账款较高时,不良率更高。这项研究的结果将有助于银行、中央银行、政府和监管机构预测哪些银行陷入财务困境,并了解原因。然后,他们可以采取有效行动,支撑受影响银行和金融体系的财务实力。
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引用次数: 10
Environmental accounting practices: A regulatory and internal management perspective 环境会计实务:法规和内部管理的观点
Pub Date : 2017-07-06 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I3.267
Sarah Yuliarini, Zaleha Othman, K. Ismaila
We conduct a qualitative research to explore Environmental Accounting (EA) practices in a setting that do not have a standard EA or in settings where accounting policy put more emphasis on the principal base rather than the rule base accounting. EA practice is related to the accounting treatment of environmental activities that are integrated, sustainable, and accountable as part of an environmental improvement and affects environment-friendly products within the bound of the law. Our findings are in the synchronic pattern and provide linkage among regulators (environmental and accounting regulators) and internal managements as (a) the integration of management on environmental activities in the business operations that can provide value addition, (b) sustainability related to the legal compliance and improvement of products, (c) reducing risk with updated data, (d) funding in most reliable condition, and, (e) reciprocal commitment. Our findings contribute to the understanding of how EA practices support policy improvement within organizations.
我们进行了一项定性研究,以探索环境会计(EA)在没有标准EA或会计政策更强调主体基础而不是规则基础会计的环境中的实践。环境评估实践与环境活动的会计处理有关,这些活动是综合的、可持续的和负责任的,作为环境改善的一部分,并在法律范围内影响环境友好型产品。我们的研究结果是同步的,并提供了监管机构(环境和会计监管机构)和内部管理之间的联系,如(a)将环境活动管理整合到可以提供附加值的业务运营中,(b)与法律合规和产品改进相关的可持续性,(c)通过更新数据降低风险,(d)在最可靠的条件下提供资金,(e)相互承诺。我们的发现有助于理解EA实践如何支持组织内的策略改进。
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引用次数: 10
期刊
Journal of Economic and Financial Studies
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