A Method of Linear Regression Model Building for Healthy Pupae Number Based on Common Characters Indicators

Q. Pu, T. Tao, Dagang Gong, Yuerong Xian, Hong Du
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Abstract

In the process of silkworm breeding, if the healthy pupae number can be predicted by using silkworm's characteristics indicators, it will provide important reference value and guidance for the subsequent breeding and characteristics improvement. In this paper, the statistical analysis of silkworm characteristics data in the past 25 years is carried out, and the linear regression model and model establishment process for predicting the healthy pupae number with common characteristics and health indicators as independent variables are given. The significance test of F test and t test and the correlation analysis of between dependent variable and independent variables showed that there is a significant linear regression relationship between the predicted value of the healthy pupae number and the indicators of trait and health. The established linear regression model predicts the healthy pupae number. The prediction error is within 2%, which is in line with the actual breeding requirements. The results are accurate. The linear regression model has certain practicability.
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基于共性指标的健康蛹数线性回归模型建立方法
在家蚕育种过程中,如果能够利用家蚕的性状指标预测健康蛹数,将为后续的育种和性状改良提供重要的参考价值和指导。本文对近25年家蚕性状数据进行了统计分析,给出了以共同性状和健康指标为自变量预测健康蛹数的线性回归模型和模型建立过程。F检验和t检验的显著性检验以及因变量和自变量的相关性分析表明,健康蛹数预测值与性状和健康指标之间存在显著的线性回归关系。建立的线性回归模型预测健康蛹数。预测误差在2%以内,符合实际养殖要求。结果是准确的。该线性回归模型具有一定的实用性。
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