Analysis of Aircraft Delay Factors at Jeju International Airport

Youngeun Choi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Jeju International Airport is experiencing heavy congestion and delays due to the rapid increase of passengers. As of 2019, delays occurred in 24,052 aircraft, which account for over 14% of all flights operated. This delay rate is about 1.5 times higher than the average delay rate of 9% at domestic airports. The factors which bring delays at Jeju International Airport may include saturation of runway capacity, poor weather conditions, and limitations in facility layout. However, there are insufficient empirical studies on how these factors have affected aircraft delays. This study analyzed the effects of airport operation characteristics, weather conditions, and aircraft operation characteristics on aircraft delay using tower-log data of Jeju International Airport and Aeronautical Climatological Statistics of Jeju International Airport of Aviation Meteorological Office. The result of the analysis shows, aircraft movements per day, aircraft movements per hour, time of day, wind, route and aircraft occupancy rate have a statistically significant effect on aircraft delay, and the relative importance of variables appeared in the order of aircraft movements per day, wind, visual, and aircraft occupancy rate. In addition, these variables were analyzed to have a statistically significant effect on the delay time of aircraft. The results of this research are expected to be used as a basic data for aircraft delay management in airport planning and operation, and contribute to improve methodology of the feasibility study for airport projects.
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济州国际机场航班延误因素分析
济州国际机场因旅客剧增,出现了严重的拥堵和延误现象。截至2019年,有24052架飞机出现延误,占所有航班的14%以上。这一延误率比国内机场平均9%的延误率高出约1.5倍。造成济州机场航班延误的原因包括跑道容量饱和、恶劣的天气、设施布局的限制等。然而,这些因素如何影响飞机延误的实证研究还不够。本研究利用济州国际机场塔台日志资料和航空气象局济州国际机场航空气候统计资料,分析机场运行特征、天气条件和飞机运行特征对飞机延误的影响。分析结果表明,每天起降的飞机、每小时起降的飞机、每天的时间、风向、航线和飞机入住率对飞机延误的影响具有统计学意义,变量的相对重要性出现在每天起降的飞机、风向、目视和飞机入住率的顺序中。此外,这些变量对飞机延误时间的影响具有统计学意义。研究结果可作为机场规划与运营中飞机延误管理的基础数据,并有助于改进机场项目可行性研究的方法。
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