Growth and Variability of Major Horticultural Crops of Jammu and Kashmir

Bakhtaver Hassan
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Abstract

The paper presents comprehensive trend analysis in terms of production, area and productivity of major horticultural crops of Jammu and Kashmir, India. Secondary data was collected from Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare, Department of Horticulture and Planning, Jammu and Kashmir and Jammu and Kashmir, Statistical Office. Using Compound Annual Growth Rate and Cuddy-Della-Valle index, the sustainability of the major horticultural crops was analysed. It was found that apple is the most stable crop in terms of both growth as well as variability. Almond suffers with highest instability in all the three parameters. Cherry too faces low growth and high instability in the last thirty years as such it has lower acceptability with the farmers. Walnut on the other hand, suffers from high fluctuation in growth rate in all the three parameters and as such suffers moderate instability. Overall, the horticultural crops in Jammu and Kashmir are strongly established and provide significant amount to the Gross State Domestic Product. And among these crops, apple and walnut contribute 80 percent to the horticultural output value in the erstwhile state. The government, therefore needs to provide better incentives to the farmers for these crops and alongwith it, address the challenges that the farmers face with respect to other crops.
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查谟和克什米尔主要园艺作物的生长和变异
本文对印度查谟和克什米尔地区主要园艺作物的产量、面积和生产力进行了综合趋势分析。二级数据收集自农业和农民福利部、园艺和规划部、查谟和克什米尔以及查谟和克什米尔统计局。采用复合年生长率和Cuddy-Della-Valle指数对主要园艺作物的可持续性进行了分析。研究发现,苹果在生长和变异方面都是最稳定的作物。杏仁在这三个参数中具有最高的不稳定性。在过去的三十年里,樱桃也面临着低生长和高不稳定性的问题,因此农民对它的接受程度较低。另一方面,核桃的生长速度在所有三个参数中波动很大,因此具有中度不稳定性。总的来说,查谟和克什米尔的园艺作物牢固地建立起来,并为国家国内生产总值提供了可观的数额。在这些作物中,苹果和核桃贡献了该州80%的园艺产值。因此,政府需要为种植这些作物的农民提供更好的激励措施,同时解决农民在种植其他作物方面面临的挑战。
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