Risk Decision-making Model for Scheduling for Wind Integrated Power System Considering Optimal Configuration of Reserve Capacity

Jian Shao, Rong Sun, Zhi-nong Wei, Jianchun Mei, Xin-dong Zhao, W. Dai, Qian Lu
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Abstract

In order to accommodate large-scale grid-connected wind power, it is needed to configure rationally the reserve capacity in system dispatch decision-making. But the uncertainty of wind power increases the system's economic cost in reserve capacity optimal configuration and also makes it more difficult to coordinate the security risk. For this problem, a forward-looking risk decision-making model for economic dispatch is established with an aim to reduce the risk involved in the implementation of the dispatch plan for future time periods. This model is, by means of probability analysis of wind power output random scenarios, to optimize reasonably the output plans of each unit and the reserve capacity of the system and enhances the security-economy coordinating of dispatch decisions. The simulating result in IEEE 30-bus system verifies the rationality and effectiveness of this model.
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考虑备用容量最优配置的风电系统调度风险决策模型
为了适应大规模并网风电,需要在系统调度决策中合理配置备用容量。但风电的不确定性增加了系统在备用容量优化配置中的经济成本,也加大了安全风险的协调难度。针对这一问题,建立了经济调度前瞻性风险决策模型,以降低未来时段调度计划实施中的风险。该模型通过对风电输出随机情景的概率分析,合理优化各机组的输出计划和系统的备用容量,增强调度决策的安全经济协调性。在IEEE 30总线系统中的仿真结果验证了该模型的合理性和有效性。
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