An analysis of factor affecting the solar home system market in Rwanda

Jeanne baptiste Niyigena, Wang Yongli, Emile Niringiyimana
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Abstract

The Solar Home System (SHS) has emerged as the answer to rural electricity in Rwanda, a developing nation where improving rural living conditions, rural electrification, and sustainable development are the primary development objectives. This study investigates the causes of the recent fall in SHS for lighting users in Rwanda based on adaptability and size in the choice to purchase SHS. In this article, adoption and sizing decisions that affect the choice to buy a home solar system are attempted to be quantified. Multivariate Probit (MVP) model are used to analyze the data. The same non-income factors— kerosene, rechargeable batteries, phone charging time, the number of children, and indoor pollution are presented in this research as the primary criteria for adjusting SHS and determining size. The study found that the level of kerosene use is found to have a substantial impact on the decision to begin using the light of SHS. It’s also found that non-income factors play a big role in the spread of SHS in rural Rwanda. The study concludes that household income alone is insufficient to estimate the latent demand for SHS in Rwanda.
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影响卢旺达太阳能家庭系统市场的因素分析
在卢旺达这个以改善农村生活条件、农村电气化和可持续发展为主要发展目标的发展中国家,太阳能家庭系统(SHS)已经成为解决农村电力问题的答案。本研究调查了卢旺达照明用户在选择购买SHS时的适应性和规模,从而导致SHS近期下降的原因。在本文中,采用和规模决定,影响选择购买家庭太阳能系统是试图量化。采用多元概率(MVP)模型对数据进行分析。同样的非收入因素——煤油、可充电电池、手机充电时间、儿童数量和室内污染——在本研究中被提出作为调整SHS和确定规模的主要标准。研究发现,煤油的使用水平对开始使用SHS灯的决定有重大影响。研究还发现,非收入因素在卢旺达农村SHS的传播中起着重要作用。该研究的结论是,仅靠家庭收入不足以估计卢旺达对特别住房的潜在需求。
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