Risk Factors for Dengue Shock Syndrome in Children Admitted in Federal Govt. Polyclinic Hospital (FGPC) Islamabad

Naveed Ashraf, Aatika Minhas, Kaneez Fatima, Amina Mobeen, Rabia Tabasum, Shahzad Munir, Maham Zahid
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Abstract

Objective: To determine the risk factors for dengue shock syndrome in children admitted in Federal Govt. Polyclinic Hospital (FGPC) Islamabad. Methodology: A cross sectional study, conducted at Pediatric department of FGPC hospital from August 2019 to October 2019, included 102 children of less than 12 years of age. All the children with acute febrile illness, who tested positive for NS1 antigen visiting the outpatient and emergency department, admitted in Pediatric department were considered eligible for enrollment in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics were reported and correlated with disease prognosis and clinical outcomes. Results: Out of 102 patients, 13 (12.7%) developed dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Patients with capillary refill time of more than 3 seconds were found to be 2.44 times more likely to develop dengue shock syndrome (OR=2.44, 95% CI 1.47 – 4.03, p<0.001). Similarly, patients with thrombocytopenia (platelet count less than 150x103 cells) and leukopenia (TLC less than 4000x103 cells) were found to be at increased risk of developing dengue shock syndrome as compared to others (OR=1.28, 95% CI 1.12 – 1.48, p=0.001 and OR=1.6, 95% CI 1.12 – 5.21, p=0.01 respectively). Out of 13(12.7%) patients with DSS 1 patient (7.7%) died but no mortality observed in DHF. Conclusion: Increased capillary refill time, thrombocytopenia, and leukopenia were found to be significant predictors of DSS in children with dengue fever. Early identification of these risk factors can help in timely management and potentially reduce morbidity and mortality associated with DSS.
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伊斯兰堡联邦政府综合医院(FGPC)住院儿童登革休克综合征的危险因素
目的:了解伊斯兰堡联邦政府综合医院(FGPC)住院儿童发生登革休克综合征的危险因素。方法:2019年8月至2019年10月在FGPC医院儿科进行了一项横断面研究,包括102名12岁以下的儿童。所有在儿科门诊和急诊科NS1抗原检测呈阳性的急性发热性疾病患儿均被认为符合纳入研究的条件。报告了人口学和临床特征,并与疾病预后和临床结果相关。结果:102例患者中,13例(12.7%)发生登革休克综合征(DSS)。毛细血管再充盈时间大于3秒的患者发生登革休克综合征的可能性增加2.44倍(OR=2.44, 95% CI 1.47 ~ 4.03, p<0.001)。同样,血小板减少(血小板计数小于150x103细胞)和白细胞减少(TLC小于4000x103细胞)的患者发生登革热休克综合征的风险高于其他患者(OR=1.28, 95% CI 1.12 - 1.48, p=0.001)和OR=1.6, 95% CI 1.12 - 5.21, p=0.01)。13例(12.7%)DSS患者中有1例(7.7%)死亡,但DHF未观察到死亡。结论:毛细血管再充盈时间增加、血小板减少和白细胞减少是登革热患儿DSS的重要预测因素。及早发现这些危险因素有助于及时管理,并有可能降低与DSS相关的发病率和死亡率。
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