Catching Up in Broadband Regressions: Does Local Loop Unbundling Really Lead to Material Increases in OECD Broadband Uptake?

G. Boyle, Bronwyn E. Howell, Wei Zhang
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引用次数: 21

Abstract

Local loop unbundling has been widely promulgated by policy-makers as a significant factor stimulating broadband uptake and therefore an essential component of a developing 'information economy'. Whilst empirical evidence is sparse and at best equivocal in respect of a consistent positive and statistically significant effect a recent study commissioned and published by the OECD does find evidence of such effects. When correcting for omitted variables correlated data and methodological inconsistencies our analysis using the models and data from this report instead support the contention that LLU's contribution to the level of national broadband uptake is materially very small and not statistically significant. Continued advocacy for the policy as a stimulant for broadband uptake on the basis of the OECD-published report is misguided.
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在宽带回归中迎头赶上:本地环路拆解真的会导致经合组织宽带吸收的物质增加吗?
地方环路分拆已被决策者广泛宣传为刺激宽带吸收的一个重要因素,因此是发展中的“信息经济”的一个重要组成部分。虽然经验证据很少,最多也就是模棱两可,但经合组织最近委托和发表的一项研究确实找到了这种效应的证据。在修正遗漏的变量、相关数据和方法不一致时,我们使用本报告中的模型和数据进行的分析反而支持这样的论点,即LLU对国家宽带吸收水平的贡献实际上非常小,在统计上不显著。在经合组织发表的报告的基础上,继续倡导将该政策作为促进宽带普及的手段是错误的。
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