Riding the wave or going under? The Covid-19 pandemic and trust in governments

Catherine Bros
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Abstract

This chapter investigates the nature of the surge in the approval ratings of leaders of ten countries between January 1 and mid-August 2020. These increases occurred in many countries at the same time as the rise in the number of Covid-19 cases and the issuance of stay-at-home orders and liberties’ restrictions. Some authors have argued that these increases in popularity signalled a decisive change in citizens’ political demand in favour of expertise and technocratic forms of government. However, these surges may also illustrate a standard rally-around-the-flag effect that was triggered by a feeling of insecurity in the face of a new menace. The analysis conducted in this chapter tends to favour the latter hypothesis. It is shown that changes in leaders’ popularity have more to do with the severity of the measures taken, which may have provided a sense of security rather than the trajectory of the number of Covid-19 cases and hence the actual management of the epidemic. The analysis undermines the idea that the Covid-19 dramatically changed political demand and represented a critical juncture. © 2022 selection and editorial matter, Rajib Bhattacharyya, Ananya Ghosh Dastidar and Soumyen Sikdar;individual chapters, the contributors.
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乘风破浪还是沉沦?Covid-19大流行与对政府的信任
本章调查了2020年1月1日至8月中旬10个国家领导人支持率飙升的本质。这些增长发生在许多国家,与此同时,新冠肺炎病例数也在增加,并发布了居家令和自由限制。一些作者认为,这些受欢迎程度的增加标志着公民政治需求的决定性变化,即支持专业知识和技术官僚形式的政府。然而,这些激增也可能说明了一种标准的团结效应,这种效应是由面对新的威胁时的不安全感引发的。本章的分析倾向于后一种假设。研究表明,领导人受欢迎程度的变化更多地与采取的措施的严重程度有关,这些措施可能提供了一种安全感,而不是与新冠肺炎病例数量的变化轨迹以及实际的疫情管理有关。这一分析打破了新冠疫情极大地改变了政治需求并代表了一个关键时刻的观点。©2022选择和编辑事项,Rajib Bhattacharyya, Ananya Ghosh Dastidar和Soumyen Sikdar;个人章节,贡献者。
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