UKRAINE – STUCK BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE WEST

Lara-Teodora Popescu
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Abstract

For some time now, Ukraine has been internally divided between those who support Russia and those who fight for the westernization of the country through its affiliation with NATO and the EU. Both the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) – and later the Eastern Partnership (EaP) policy – as well as Russia’s foreign policy, have been fuelling more and more this internal divide, with every strategy implemented by the EU in that direction leading to violent responses from Russia, which had very significant consequences on Ukraine. This paper aims to present, through qualitative analysis, the present geopolitical situation of Ukraine, which seems to be unable to move forward in a definitive direction. Throughout this essay I will analyse the events that led to the impasse in which Kyiv is stuck now, also touching upon the tense relation between the EU and Russia. Towards the end of the paper, further possible strategies and scenarios are suggested, considering and examining the tense situation in the whole Eastern Neighbourhood. Comparisons between other EaP states and Ukraine are also going to be presented in order to obtain a complete picture of the situation.
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乌克兰——夹在俄罗斯和西方之间
一段时间以来,乌克兰内部一直分裂为两派,一派支持俄罗斯,另一派则通过加入北约和欧盟来争取乌克兰的西方化。无论是欧洲邻国政策(ENP),还是后来的东部伙伴关系(EaP)政策,以及俄罗斯的外交政策,都加剧了这种内部分歧,欧盟在这个方向上实施的每一项战略都导致俄罗斯的暴力回应,这对乌克兰造成了非常严重的后果。本文旨在通过定性分析,呈现当前乌克兰的地缘政治局势,似乎无法朝着明确的方向前进。在这篇文章中,我将分析导致基辅陷入僵局的事件,也将触及欧盟与俄罗斯之间的紧张关系。在文章的最后,考虑并审视了整个东部地区的紧张局势,提出了进一步可能的策略和方案。为了全面了解局势,还将对其他东欧国家与乌克兰进行比较。
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