World Order and Shifting Regional Security Landscapes

R. Elamiryan
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Abstract

International Relations in the 21st Century have witnessed a transformation in the Global Order. This has impacted the priorities of the United States in different parts of the world, including the South Caucasus. The paper discusses the US interests in the South Caucasus in the framework of the US ‘Pivot to Asia’ policy and the revised strategy towards Europe and Middle East. It analyses the US National Security Strategy (2017), President Biden’s Interim National Security Strategic Guidance (2021), and other strategic documents, interviews and public speeches, US economic cooperation with the region, as well as quotes expert interviews. The author concludes that the South Caucasus is losing its strategic attractiveness for the US. It is connected with the US policy of strategic refocusing towards the Asia Pacific, decreasing interest towards Caspian energy sources and the withdrawal of US military presence in Afghanistan. However, despite the above, apart from supporting democratic transitions in the region, the US is interested in the region in order to contain Russia, China, and Iran.
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世界秩序和地区安全格局的变化
21世纪的国际关系见证了全球秩序的变革。这影响了美国在包括南高加索在内的世界不同地区的优先事项。本文在美国“重返亚洲”政策和修订后的欧洲和中东战略框架下讨论了美国在南高加索地区的利益。分析了美国《国家安全战略》(2017)、拜登总统《临时国家安全战略指南》(2021)等战略文件、访谈和公开演讲、美国与该地区的经济合作,并引用了专家访谈。作者的结论是,南高加索地区正在失去对美国的战略吸引力。这与美国将战略重心重新转向亚太地区、减少对里海能源的兴趣以及美国从阿富汗撤军有关。然而,尽管如此,除了支持该地区的民主转型之外,美国对该地区感兴趣的是为了遏制俄罗斯,中国和伊朗。
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