Analysis of Cointegration and VECM of FDI, Labor Force, Government Expenditure and GDP in Indonesia (2005-2019)

Danang Indrajaya
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper studied the effect of labor force, government expenditure and FDI on GDP of Indonesia (2005-2019) by cointegration analysis and VECM. In the short-term, GDP, labor force and government expenditure significantly affect GDP of Indonesia, while FDI does not significantly affect Indonesia’s GDP. However, in the long term, GDP, labor force, government expenditure and FDI have a significant affect GDP of Indonesia. The government must ensure that there are no shocks in GDP, labor force, government expenditure and FDI of Indonesia. Because any shocks that occur in these variables will also have an impact on the GDP of Indonesia.   Keywords: GDP, Labor Force, FDI, Government Expenditure     
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2005-2019年印尼FDI、劳动力、政府支出与GDP的协整与VECM分析
本文采用协整分析和VECM方法研究了印尼2005-2019年劳动力、政府支出和FDI对GDP的影响。在短期内,GDP、劳动力和政府支出对印尼GDP的影响显著,而FDI对印尼GDP的影响不显著。然而,从长期来看,GDP、劳动力、政府支出和FDI对印尼的GDP有着显著的影响。政府必须确保印尼的GDP、劳动力、政府支出和外国直接投资不受冲击。因为在这些变量中发生的任何冲击也会对印尼的GDP产生影响。关键词:GDP,劳动力,FDI,政府支出
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