Predictive analysis of the loss of online shopping users based on data mining

Ziping Liu
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Abstract

In the fast-changing Internet era, the advantages of e-commerce over traditional shopping models are becoming more and more obvious, and convenient and fast online shopping patterns are attracting more and more users. At the same time, large-scale transactions and demand between e-commerce competition is becoming increasingly fierce, inter-enterprise competition on the one hand to promote the development of e-commerce, at the same time, but also accelerate the survival of e-commerce. Enterprise competition has intensified, customers to the enterprise, has become the most important resource, how to attract customers and retain customers has become the focus of the enterprise, which also makes customer loss become the concern of many enterprises. E-commerce companies in order to ensure their own healthy development in the fierce competition market, not only to make their products attractive, but also in-depth understanding of user preferences and satisfaction, the user’s behavior characteristics of in-depth exploration. E-commerce user behavior instability is greater, the churn rate is high, then, can we find customers in time before the loss, while helping the marketing department to target the loss of customer base and develop appropriate marketing programs is an important work of the enterprise marketing department.It is an important work in the daily operation and management of e-commerce enterprises to predict the loss of users more accurately, to implement targeted retention strategies for users who are at greater risk of loss, and to reduce the churn rate. In these areas, data mining can help businesses. In this paper, data mining technology is applied to business analysis to predict the loss of Tmall users within a certain period of time, so as to implement retention strategy and reduce the churn rate.
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基于数据挖掘的网购用户流失预测分析
在瞬息万变的互联网时代,电子商务相对于传统购物模式的优势越来越明显,方便快捷的网上购物模式吸引着越来越多的用户。与此同时,电子商务之间的大规模交易和需求竞争也日趋激烈,企业间的竞争一方面促进了电子商务的发展,同时,也加速了电子商务的生存。企业竞争愈演愈烈,客户对于企业来说,已经成为最重要的资源,如何吸引客户和留住客户成为企业关注的焦点,这也使得客户流失成为很多企业关注的问题。电子商务企业要想在激烈的竞争市场中保证自身的健康发展,不仅要使自己的产品具有吸引力,还要深入了解用户的喜好和满意度,对用户的行为特征进行深入探索。电子商务用户行为的不稳定性较大,流失率较高,那么,能否在客户流失之前及时发现客户,同时帮助营销部门针对流失的客户群制定相应的营销方案是企业营销部门的一项重要工作。更准确地预测用户流失,对流失风险较大的用户实施有针对性的留存策略,降低流失率,是电商企业日常运营管理中的一项重要工作。在这些领域,数据挖掘可以帮助企业。本文将数据挖掘技术应用到业务分析中,预测天猫用户在一定时间内的流失情况,从而实施留存策略,降低流失率。
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