Mortgage Amortization and Amplification

Luisa Lambertini, Chiara Forlati
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Mortgages characterized by negative or low early amortization schedules amplify the macroeconomic effects of a housing risk shock. We analyze the role of mortgage amortization in a two-sector DSGE model with housing risk and endogenous default. Mortgage loan contracts extend to two periods and have adjustable rates. The fraction of principal to be repaid in the first period can vary. As the fraction of principal to be paid in the first period falls, steady-state mortgages and leverage increase and the impact of a housing risk shock on consumption and output is amplified. Borrowers prefer negative amortization. If free to choose the amortization schedule, borrowers would repay most of the principal in the last period of the contract. Low early repayments of principal allow borrowers to hold on to their housing stock and postpone default to the second period having incurred small sunk costs.
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抵押贷款摊销和放大
以负的或较低的早期摊销时间表为特征的抵押贷款放大了住房风险冲击的宏观经济影响。本文在考虑住房风险和内生违约的双部门DSGE模型中分析了抵押贷款摊销的作用。抵押贷款合同期限为两期,利率可调。在第一期偿还本金的比例可能会有所不同。随着第一期需要支付的本金比例下降,稳态抵押贷款和杠杆增加,住房风险冲击对消费和产出的影响被放大。借款人更喜欢负摊销。如果可以自由选择分期偿还时间表,借款人将在合同的最后期限偿还大部分本金。较低的提前偿还本金使借款人能够持有他们的住房库存,并将违约推迟到第二阶段,而这已经产生了较小的沉没成本。
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