APPLICATION OF EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD TO FORECASE THE AMOUNT OF RICE PRODUCTION IN TANATE RIAJA DISTRICT, BARRU REGENCY

Khalilah Nurfadilah, W. Saputri, Adnan Sauddin
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Abstract

This study discusses the agricultural production of rice plans. The variabel used to predict the level of rice production in Tanete Riaja District, Barru Regency, are  as the total production of rice plants. This research is an applied research with double exponential smoothing method. The purpose of this study was to determine the amount of rice production in Tanete Riaja District, Barru Regency in 2021 to 2025. The results of forecasting the amount of rice production ini 2021 were  24134.18 tons, in 2022 25235.25 tons, in 2023 26336.32 tons, in 2024 it will be  27437.38 ton, and in 2025 it will be 28538.45 ton. Based on the results of forecasting the amount of rice production, it can be concluded that from year to year increased.
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应用指数平滑法预测巴鲁县里亚哈地区水稻产量
本研究探讨了水稻的农业生产计划。用于预测巴鲁县Tanete Riaja地区水稻生产水平的变量是水稻植株的总产量。本研究是双指数平滑法的应用研究。本研究的目的是确定2021年至2025年巴鲁县Tanete Riaja区的水稻产量。预测2021年水稻产量为24134.18吨,2022年为25235.25吨,2023年为26336.32吨,2024年为27437.38吨,2025年为28538.45吨。根据对水稻产量的预测结果,可以得出水稻产量逐年增加的结论。
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