Selected problems of ambiguity of the dual price of water in the post-optimization analysis of the water supply system

J. Wawrzosek, S. Ignaciuk, A. Bochniak
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

An analysis conducted by the World Bank [64] indicates that water shortages in some regions may reduce GDP by up to 6% and lead to increased migration and in some cases to a greater risk of conflict. Droughts and periods of water scarcity have become a more common and more frequent phenomenon in Europe [17]. The drought experiences in Europe in 2011, 2012, 2015 and 2018 were the worst in a century and affected not only Southern and Western Europe, but also the countries in Northern Europe (including Great Britain, France, Germany, Sweden and Poland). The difference between water supply and its growing demand also determines the key limitations of China’s economic development. It is estimated that before 2005 due to a shortage of water in production, China lost $ 28 511 million annually. Brown [7] concluded that the shortage of water in China will soon be a threat to global cereal demand. Therefore, water, alongside cereals and crude oil, is referred to as a strategic resource. Hence, it is suggested that public authorities should shape water pricing for users in order to reflect its true shortage or alternative costs [15]. Table 3. Steady state availability versus for Case 2
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供水系统后优化分析中二元水价模糊性的选择问题
世界银行的一项分析[64]表明,一些地区的水资源短缺可能会使GDP减少多达6%,并导致移民增加,在某些情况下还会增加冲突的风险。在欧洲,干旱和水资源短缺已经成为一种更普遍、更频繁的现象。2011年、2012年、2015年和2018年的欧洲干旱是百年不遇的,不仅影响了南欧和西欧,还影响了北欧国家(包括英国、法国、德国、瑞典和波兰)。水资源供应和不断增长的需求之间的差距也决定了中国经济发展的关键限制。据估计,2005年以前,由于生产用水短缺,中国每年损失285.11亿美元。Brown b[7]的结论是,中国的水资源短缺将很快对全球谷物需求构成威胁。因此,水与谷物和原油一样,被认为是一种战略资源。因此,建议公共当局应为用户制定水价,以反映其真正的短缺或替代成本。表3。稳态可用性与案例2的对比
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