Mobilization Strategies and Get Out the Vote

Melissa R. Michelson
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Abstract

Persuading individuals to vote using instrumental arguments about affecting the outcome are generally ineffective, reflecting the irrationality of the likelihood that a single vote will do so. A review of existing randomized experiments suggests the much stronger strategy is to rely instead on messages that encourage individuals to vote as an expression of their identity in a particular group, such as their racial identity or partisan identity, harnessing the power of in-group identity and individual needs for self-esteem. This perspective helps resolve inconsistencies in the outcomes of existing experiments and remaining puzzles about how best to mobilize different subsets of the public. It also unearths an unplumbed well of potential future mobilization experiments.
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动员策略和动员投票
用影响结果的工具性论点来说服个人投票通常是无效的,这反映了单次投票就能做到这一点的可能性的不合理性。对现有随机实验的回顾表明,更有效的策略是依靠鼓励个人投票的信息来表达他们在特定群体中的身份,比如他们的种族身份或党派身份,利用群体内身份的力量和个人自尊的需要。这种观点有助于解决现有实验结果的不一致,以及如何最好地动员不同群体的困惑。它还为未来潜在的动员实验开辟了一条尚未探明的道路。
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